Match Info

HUNGARY: Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Varkert Stadium (Kisvarda)


	Kisvárda		Gyirmót

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.4	3.4
	1.88	3.5	3.5
	1.92	3.46	3.6
	1.97	3.52	3.65	Watch
	1.89	3.46	3.56
	1.88	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.24)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	3.54 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kisvárda
48%

Draw
26.3%

Gyirmót
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kisvárda's performance.

Gyirmót has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gyirmót might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kisvárda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gyirmót than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gyirmót could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Kisvárda - Gyirmót Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kisvárda will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gyirmót will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacs M. (G) 29. Biro B. 5. Chlumecky M. 24. Cipetic B. 3. Jovicic A. 18. Kormendi K. 27. Mesanovic J. 66. Osztrovka M. 97. Spasic M. 44. Stefan R. 70. Szor L.	51. Harsfalvi A. (G) 67. Csorgo V. 22. Helembai M. 84. Horvath R. 39. Hudak D. 7. Katona M. 20. Kovacs D. 95. Madarasz M. 99. Pyshchur O. 10. Szegi V. 17. Ugrai R.
Substitutes
15. Babjak M. 7. Camaj D. 11. Matanovic M. 16. Molnar G. 55. Ponomarenko N. 30. Popovich I. (G) 10. Soltesz D. 8. Soltesz I. 23. Szeles I. A.	98. Cserkuti-Nemeth O. 29. Erdei M. 18. Hajdu A. 30. Hudak M. 15. Kiss N. 5. Lanyi B. 77. Miknyoczki A. 71. Ominger B. 12. Rusak E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Szeles I. A. ⚽,
16', 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Pyshchur O. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, Szor L. ⚽,
23', 3 - 1, Mesanovic J. ⚽,
24', 🟨,
34', 4 - 1, Spasic M. ⚽,
40', 5 - 1, Chlumecky M. ⚽,
41', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 🟨,
53', 6 - 1, Cipetic B. ⚽,
67', 6 - 2, ⚽,
72', 6 - 3, ⚽,
83', 6 - 4, ⚽,

Last Results with these Odds

Kisvárda - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.67%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kisvárda SE
Hungarian NB II
06.10.24	BVSC-Zugló - Kisvárda	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Kisvárda - Csákvári	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Kisvárda	4:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
14.09.24	III. Kerületi TVE - Kisvárda	0:1 penalties ✺
Hungarian NB II
01.09.24	Kisvárda - Soroksár	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW
- Gyirmót
Hungarian NB II
06.10.24	Gyirmót - Budapest Honved	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Szeged 2011 - Gyirmót	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Gyirmót - Békéscsaba 1912	1:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
15.09.24	BKV Előre - Gyirmót	1:5 ✺
Hungarian NB II
01.09.24	Szentlőrinc - Gyirmót	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
13.03.22	Kisvárda - Gyirmót	1:0
20.11.21	Gyirmót - Kisvárda	1:1
06.08.21	Kisvárda - Gyirmót	2:1
Hungarian NB II
11.04.18	Gyirmót - Kisvárda	1:0
19.08.17	Kisvárda - Gyirmót	3:0

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