The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kisvárda 34.1%
Draw 27.6%
Ujpest 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
28.1%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
28%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kisvárda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Ujpest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ujpest than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Kisvárda - Ujpest Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Popovych I. (G) 6. Osztrovka M. 26. Radmanovac N. 4. Chlumecky M. 10. Soltesz D. 80. Mbock H. 27. Mesanovic J. (C) 14. Melnyk B. 24. Herc Ch. 77. Esik A. 45. Balogun T.
1. Szappanos P. (G) 2. Bodnar G. 3. Heitor 94. Stronati P. 36. Ujvary F. 10. Maier A. 88. Ljujic M. (C) 27. Krajcsovics A. 14. Amenyido E. 11. Horvath K. 39. Vlijter G.
Substitutes
29. Biro B. 18. Kormendi K. 1. Kovacs M. (G) 11. Matanovic M. 55. Nagy K. 86. Novothny S. 7. Nuriyev A. 5. Olah B. 32. Papp Z. (G) 21. Szikszai H. 70. Szor L. 99. Yordanov T.
45. Ademi A. 19. Balladom P. M. 23. Banai D. (G) 32. Dombo D. (G) 77. Fenyo N. 5. Fiola A. 18. Lacoux T. 17. Matko A. 15. Mucsanyi M. 30. Nunes J. 38. Sarkadi K. 21. Scharmer T.
Coaches
Supka A.
Szelesi Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Vlijter G. ⚽, Heitor (A),
15', 1 - 1, Herc Ch. ⚽, Mesanovic J. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Heitor ⚽, Horvath K. (A),
34', Balogun T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Balogun T. ↓, Novothny S. ↑,
46', Esik A. ↓, Szikszai H. ↑,
54', Mesanovic J. ↓, Matanovic M. ↑,
55', Soltesz D. 🟨,
66', Vlijter G. ↓, Mucsanyi M. ↑,
66', Krajcsovics A. ↓, Matko A. ↑,
77', Melnyk B. ↓, Biro B. ↑,
77', Herc Ch. ↓, Nuriyev A. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Amenyido E. ⚽,
84', Ujvary F. ↓, Scharmer T. ↑,
84', Maier A. ↓, Fenyo N. ↑,
84', Heitor ↓, Nunes J. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Matanovic M. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 4, Matko A. ⚽, Amenyido E. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 4.
Kisvárda is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ujpest has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ujpest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kisvárda won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:5. (average 1.9:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Ujpest
8
4
2
2
17:13
4
14
8
Kisvarda
8
2
3
3
9:10
-1
9
Last Results with these Odds
Kisvárda - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.91%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.