Match Info

HUNGARY: Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 20

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Varkert Stadium (Kisvarda)


	Kisvárda		Ajka

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	6
	1.43	4.1	6.4
	1.41	4.4	7.24
	1.44	4.27	7.35	Watch
	1.37	4.25	7.49
	1.43	4.1	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.58)	4.15 ↑ (3.54)	6.81 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kisvárda
64.4%

Draw
22.1%

Ajka
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

25.7%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

24.8%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kisvárda's performance.

Ajka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Kisvárda - Ajka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Popovich I. (G) 29. Biro B. 5. Chlumecky M. 24. Cipetic B. 98. Gyurko M. 42. Lippai T. 11. Matanovic M. 4. Matic B. 27. Mesanovic J. 10. Soltesz D. 8. Soltesz I.	31. Horvath D. (G) 7. Borsos F. 30. Doncsecz L. 4. Frak M. 99. Garai Z. 14. Kovacs N. 18. Sejben V. 27. Szarka A. 34. Tar Z. 20. Toth G. 9. Zsolnai R.
Substitutes
3. Jovicic A. 18. Kormendi K. 77. Kovacs K. 1. Kovacs M. (G) 16. Molnar G. 66. Osztrovka M. 9. Pap Z. 19. Puclin D. 20. Scsadej L. 97. Spasic M. 23. Szeles I. A. 70. Szor L.	12. Bobal G. 2. Csanadi B. 19. Csizmadia Z. 5. Kenderes Z. 11. Kopacsi A. 17. Kovacs B. 23. Major G. 10. Pantovic N. 97. Szabados I. (G) 8. Szabo B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Lippai T. ⚽,
16', Toth G. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Soltesz D. ⚽,
36', Zsolnai R. 🟨,
43', Gyurko M. 🟨,
45', Frak M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Borsos F. ↓, Kopacsi A. ↑,
46', Frak M. ↓, Kenderes Z. ↑,
46', Gyurko M. ↓, Spasic M. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Matanovic M. ⚽,
57', Matanovic M. ↓, Molnar G. ↑,
60', Zsolnai R. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
60', Szarka A. ↓, Bobal G. ↑,
64', Mesanovic J. ↓, Pap Z. ↑,
64', Biro B. ↓, Szor L. ↑,
64', Soltesz D. ↓, Kormendi K. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, Lippai T. ⚽,
76', Sejben V. ↓, Csanadi B. ↑,
85', Kovacs B. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OTP Bank Liga and 9).

Kisvárda in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ajka is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kisvárda is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kisvárda to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kisvárda won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Kisvárda won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kisvárda SE
Hungarian NB II
03.03.25	Kozármisleny - Kisvárda	2:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
26.02.25	SC Sopron - Kisvárda	0:3 ✺
Hungarian NB II
23.02.25	Kisvárda - Tatabánya	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Budafoki - Kisvárda	2:4 ✺
10.02.25	Kisvárda - Vasas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWT
- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
02.03.25	Ajka - Budapest Honved	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Szeged 2011 - Ajka	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Ajka - Békéscsaba 1912	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Szentlőrinc - Ajka	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.02.25	Ajka - Nagykanizsa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
25.08.24	Ajka - Kisvárda	3:2
02.04.16	Ajka - Kisvárda	0:1
12.09.15	Kisvárda - Ajka	0:0

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