Match Info

RWANDA: Premier League - Round 14

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Kiyovu Sports		Vision

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.85	3.25	3.95
	1.84	3.22	3.92
	1.85	3.39	3.98
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.9	3.22	3.82
	1.85	3.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.17)	3.23 ↑ (2.9)	3.86 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiyovu Sports
48.5%

Draw
28%

Vision
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

31.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

26.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiyovu Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kiyovu Sports's performance.

Vision has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiyovu Sports than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kiyovu Sports that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vision than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vision could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Kiyovu Sports - Vision Predictions

Users Predictions: Kiyovu Sports will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Omar N. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Mugenzi C. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Mugisha D. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 2, Prosper R. ⚽,
45+4', 3 - 2, Manzi O. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Kiyovu Sports
Rwanda Premier League
15.12.24	Gorilla - Kiyovu Sports	1:1 ✺
11.12.24	APR - Kiyovu Sports	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Kiyovu Sports - Musanze	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Rutsiro - Kiyovu Sports	0:0 ✺
22.11.24	Kiyovu Sports - Etincelles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TLLTW
- Vision FC Rwanda
Rwanda Premier League
16.12.24	Vision - Etincelles	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Gasogi United - Vision	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Vision - Rayon Sports	0:3 ✺
23.11.24	Bugesera - Vision	1:2 ✺
07.11.24	Vision - APR	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLWL

Kiyovu Sports - Vision: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide