Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Klubi 04		TPS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	4.05	1.88
	3.41	4.05	1.93
	3.45	2.57	2.56	Watch
	3.26	4.05	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.93)	3.68 ↓ (3.76)	2.07 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Klubi 04
28.4%

Draw
25.7%

TPS
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

24.7%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24.5%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Klubi 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Klubi 04 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Klubi 04 - TPS Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Klubi 04 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). TPS will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
89. Haapanen M. (G) 57. Arop C. 49. Hannula O. (C) 51. Harden K. 74. Hyvonen M. 67. Ingman E. 61. Konttas V. 98. Lietsa J. 62. Palmula L. 65. Soiniemi A. 91. Vuorinen V.	35. Lauri D. (G) 8. Bostrom A. (C) 6. Dahlstrom B. 2. Haggstrom O. 9. Helen O. 26. Ikonen L. 20. Kauppila M. 14. Kawakita E. 13. Konkkola M. 4. Sairinen A. 23. Vauhkonen E.
Substitutes
95. Baranov S. 72. Berisha A. 59. Gronlund E. 53. Kari J. 97. Mero T. 68. Nylund A. 79. Tanska J. (G) 96. Toivonen I. 73. Traore A.	22. Coulibaly A. 11. Dahlfors O. 12. Hakanpaa O. (G) 7. Harjanne R. 29. Muzaci A. 25. Pohjolainen S. 16. Pohtio V. 10. Riski Ri.
Coaches
Hetemaj P.	Pinol I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Hannula O. ⚽, Konttas V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 1 - 1, Konkkola M. ⚽, Ikonen L. (A),
58', Soiniemi A. 🟨,
58', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Muzaci A. ↑,
62', Konttas V. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
63', Hyvonen M. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
67', Ingman E. ↓, Berisha A. ↑,
68', Palmula L. ↓, Nylund A. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Nylund A. ⚽, Baranov S. (A),
78', Helen O. 🟨,
80', Ikonen L. 🟨,
81', Ikonen L. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,
85', Berisha A. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Helen O. ⚽, Muzaci A. (A),
90', Lietsa J. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 3, Muzaci A. (Pen),
90+2', Arop C. ↓, Gronlund E. ↑,
90+6', Kawakita E. ↓, Dahlfors O. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Klubi 04 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, TPS has had a series of home games.

TPS will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Klubi 04 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Klubi 04 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Klubi 04
Finnish Ykkosliiga
28.08.25	Lahti - Klubi 04	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Klubi 04 - KaPa	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	JIPPO - Klubi 04	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Salon Palloilijat - Klubi 04	0:3 ✺
28.07.25	Klubi 04 - KaPa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLWWT
- TPS
Finnish Ykkosliiga
05.09.25	TPS - Ekenäs	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	KaPa - TPS	3:3 ✺
22.08.25	TPS - SJK Akatemia	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	TPS - PK-35 Vantaa	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	TPS - PK-35 Vantaa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
09.07.25	TPS - Klubi 04	4:1
18.05.25	Klubi 04 - TPS	3:1
Finnish Ykkonen
19.09.21	Klubi 04 - TPS	2:4
01.07.21	TPS - Klubi 04	0:1
Finnish Cup
20.01.18	TPS - Klubi 04	1:1

Upcoming Matches