Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Lahden Stadion (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Lahti		Klubi 04

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	4.25	5.15
	1.41	5.2	6.26
	1.44	4.81	5.91	Watch
	1.49	4.3	5.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	4.64 ↑ (4.62)	5.73 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahti
63.6%

Draw
20.1%

Klubi 04
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

20%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

21.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Klubi 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Klubi 04 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	7.7%	38.5%

Lahti - Klubi 04 Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lahti will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Klubi 04 will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lahti: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Lahti (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Klubi 04 (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Maukonen O. (G) 5. Casagrande P. 15. Hasa N. 7. Heikkinen D. 23. Huovila V. 95. Kante A. 28. Montiel C. 20. Muzinga J. 6. Pami M. 3. Sans R. 21. Vainionpaa M. (C)	89. Haapanen M. (G) 57. Arop C. 49. Hannula O. (C) 51. Harden K. 67. Ingman E. 61. Konttas V. 68. Nylund A. 65. Soiniemi A. 96. Toivonen I. 73. Traore A. 91. Vuorinen V.
Substitutes
24. Babiker A. 25. Inkinen T. 18. Jokiranta V. 11. Koskinen O. 14. Laamanen E. 19. Martim Augusto 30. Munukka A. (G) 10. Oteng E. 8. Peltola A.	92. Ameen M. 95. Baranov S. 72. Berisha A. 53. Kari J. 78. Kiljunen J. (G) 47. Levealahti E. 97. Mero T. 62. Palmula L. 54. Zaitra A.
Coaches
Pereira G.	Hetemaj P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Hetemaj P. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Casagrande P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 2 - 0, Hasa N. ⚽,
52', 2 - 1, Konttas V. ⚽,
52', Koskinen O. 🟨,
55', Casagrande P. 🟨,
62', Huovila V. ↓, Martim Augusto ↑,
65', Toivonen I. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
65', Nylund A. ↓, Palmula L. ↑,
73', Konttas V. ↓, Levealahti E. ↑,
73', Ingman E. ↓, Berisha A. ↑,
74', Montiel C. ↓, Inkinen T. ↑,
77', (Pen),
78', 2 - 2, Harden K. ⚽,
83', Hasa N. ↓, Peltola A. ↑,
83', Muzinga J. ↓, Babiker A. ↑,
83', Vainionpaa M. ↓, Oteng E. ↑,
89', Vuorinen V. ↓, Mero T. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Lahti have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Klubi 04 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Lahti is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lahti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lahti
Finnish Ykkosliiga
22.08.25	Ekenäs - Lahti	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Lahti - KaPa	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Lahti - Ekenäs	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	JäPS - Lahti	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	KaPa - Lahti	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWLT
- Klubi 04
Finnish Ykkosliiga
23.08.25	Klubi 04 - KaPa	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	JIPPO - Klubi 04	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Salon Palloilijat - Klubi 04	0:3 ✺
28.07.25	Klubi 04 - KaPa	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Klubi 04 - Salon Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
19.06.25	Lahti - Klubi 04	2:1
28.04.25	Klubi 04 - Lahti	0:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
01.02.25	Lahti - Klubi 04	2:1

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