Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 13

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Kluczevia Stargard		Pogoń Szczecin II

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.75	2.35
	1.93	4.09	2.9
	2.23	3.77	2.64	Watch
	2.12	3.82	2.89	Watch
	2.16	3.66	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.85)	3.82 ↑ (3.58)	2.69 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kluczevia Stargard
42.2%

Draw
23.9%

Pogoń Szczecin II
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

24.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kluczevia Stargard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kluczevia Stargard's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Szczecin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Szczecin II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kluczevia Stargard than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kluczevia Stargard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kluczevia Stargard - Pogoń Szczecin II Predictions

Users Predictions: Kluczevia Stargard will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kluczevia Stargard will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Kalenik O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Silva R. ⚽,
71', 3 - 0, Silva R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Kluczevia Stargard has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pogoń Szczecin II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pogoń Szczecin II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kluczevia Stargard might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kluczevia Stargard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Including home match between the teams, Kluczevia Stargard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kluczevia Stargard
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.10.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Kluczevia Stargard	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Elana Toruń	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Noteć Czarnków - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Kluczevia Stargard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLTWL
- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Września - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.03.22	Kluczevia Stargard - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:1
22.08.21	Pogoń Szczecin II - Kluczevia Stargard	5:0

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