Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Pogoń Szczecin II		Tłuchowia Tłuchowo

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.85	5.9
	1.46	4.92	5.36
	1.46	4.58	5.40	Watch
	1.35	4.75	6.78	Watch
	1.43	4.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	4.78 ↑ (4.6)	5.85 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin II
65%

Draw
19.2%

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

19.5%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

18.7%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Pogoń Szczecin II - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Kieplin D. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Lawa N. ⚽,
40', Bartkowiak M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
67', 1 - 2, Szczutowski A. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Szczutowski A. ⚽,
88', 2 - 3, Czaplinski J. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Pogoń Szczecin II is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Tłuchowia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Pogoń Szczecin II is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew	3:4 ✺
20.09.25	Września - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Luzino - Pogoń Szczecin II	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.10.25	Luzino - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	6:2 ✺
27.09.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Września	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Lipno Stęszew - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLLW

Pogoń Szczecin II - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide