Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 6

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Kluczevia Stargard		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.30	2.45
	2.25	3.55	2.50
	2.38	3.55	2.43
	1.92	3.81	3.23	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.13
	2.74	3.55	2.30	Watch
	1.69	3.55	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.69)	3.52 ↓ (3.55)	2.71 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kluczevia Stargard
40.2%

Draw
26%

Unia Swarzędz
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

25%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

23.8%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kluczevia Stargard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kluczevia Stargard's form might have worsened.

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unia Swarzędz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kluczevia Stargard than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kluczevia Stargard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unia Swarzędz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kluczevia Stargard - Unia Swarzędz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Wozniak K. ⚽,
66', 2 - 0, Pietrzyk K. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

Kluczevia Stargard is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Unia Swarzędz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kluczevia Stargard is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kluczevia Stargard won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Kluczevia Stargard won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Kluczevia Stargard	10	6	1	3	19:16	3	19
11	Unia Swarzedz	11	4	1	6	20:19	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kluczevia Stargard
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Kluczevia Stargard	3:4 ✺
19.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Gedania Gdańsk	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Lipno Stęszew - Kluczevia Stargard	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Kluczevia Stargard	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWWT
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.08.26	Unia Swarzędz - Wda Świecie	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	Elana Toruń - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
14.08.26	Unia Swarzędz - Noteć Czarnków	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Unia Swarzędz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.11.25	Unia Swarzędz - Kluczevia Stargard	0:2
02.08.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Unia Swarzędz	2:2

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