Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Burgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park (Knokke)


	Knokke		Merelbeke

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.65	4.55
	1.57	4.1	5.17
	1.64	3.79	4.66	Watch
	1.59	3.72	4.93
	1.55	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)	3.85 ↑ (3.71)	4.86 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Knokke
57.5%

Draw
23.7%

Merelbeke
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.4%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

23.4%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Knokke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Merelbeke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Knokke than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for Merelbeke aligns with the current prediction.

Knokke - Merelbeke Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 15).

Knokke is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Merelbeke is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Merelbeke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Knokke is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Knokke won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Knokke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Knokke FC
Belgian National Division 1 VV
26.11.25	Leuven B - Knokke	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Tienen - Knokke	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	SK Roeselare - Knokke	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Knokke - Dessel Sport	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Knokke - Houtvenne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWT
- KFC Merelbeke
Belgian National Division 1 VV
22.11.25	Merelbeke - Dessel Sport	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Diegem Sport - Merelbeke	1:4 ✺
08.11.25	Houtvenne - Merelbeke	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Merelbeke - Hoogstraten	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Hasselt - Merelbeke	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 VV
30.03.25	Knokke - Merelbeke	3:2
12.10.24	Merelbeke - Knokke	1:1
Belgian Second Amateur Division Group A
19.01.20	Merelbeke - Knokke	0:2
22.09.19	Knokke - Merelbeke	3:0

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