Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Knokke		Merelbeke

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.45	3.35
	2.12	3.56	3.07
	1.96	3.74	3.22	Watch
	2.09	3.5	3
	2.01	3.71	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.92)	3.59 ↑ (3.52)	3.17 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Knokke
45.6%

Draw
25.5%

Merelbeke
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47%

25.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

24.5%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Knokke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Merelbeke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Knokke than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merelbeke than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Knokke - Merelbeke Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 7th and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Knokke won 4.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Knokke could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Merelbeke has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Knokke is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Knokke has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:5 (averaging 2.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Knokke against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:2 goals (averaging 2.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Merelbeke	9	4	3	2	14:8	6	15
11	Knokke	9	3	1	5	11:15	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Knokke - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 46.97%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Merelbeke - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 27.41%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Knokke FC
Belgian National Division 1 VV
10.10.26	Houtvenne - Knokke	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Knokke - Leuven B	3:2 ✺
30.09.26	Zelzate - Knokke	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Knokke - Belisia Bilzen	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Cercle Brugge 2 - Knokke	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTWL
- KFC Merelbeke
Belgian National Division 1 VV
11.10.26	Merelbeke - Mandel United	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Tienen - Merelbeke	0:0 ✺
30.09.26	Merelbeke - Dessel Sport	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
27.09.26	Merelbeke - Eupen	0:1 ✺
Belgian National Division 1 VV
20.09.26	Merelbeke - Harelbeke	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 VV
08.02.26	Merelbeke - Knokke	2:3
30.11.25	Knokke - Merelbeke	2:0
30.03.25	Knokke - Merelbeke	3:2
12.10.24	Merelbeke - Knokke	1:1
Belgian Second Amateur Division Group A
19.01.20	Merelbeke - Knokke	0:2
22.09.19	Knokke - Merelbeke	3:0

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