Match Info

Super Lig - Round 17

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Kocaelispor		Antalyaspor

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.53	5.1
	1.71	3.7	5.52
	1.7	3.66	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.74	3.68	5.45	Watch
	1.64	3.5	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 (1.68)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	5.27 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
55.9%

Draw
26.3%

Antalyaspor
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.7%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

25.5%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Antalyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	22.7%	13.6%

Kocaelispor - Antalyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Antalyaspor will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kocaelispor will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovanovic A. (G) 22. Oguz A. 5. Balogh B. 6. Smolcic H. 21. Haidara M. 8. Keita H. 10. Linetty K. 7. Agyei D. 75. Bingol T. 17. Churlinov D. 9. Petkovic B. (C)	21. Yigiter A. (G) 7. Balci B. 89. Sari V. (C) 30. Giannetti L. 3. Paal K. 88. Saric D. 6. Dikmen S. 8. Safuri R. 11. Ballet S. 77. Boli Y. 22. van de Streek S.
Substitutes
3. Cinan M. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 2. Dijksteel A. 19. Dursun S. 18. Gedik F. 70. Keles C. 98. Nonge J. 99. Rivas R. 34. Syrota O. 23. Yalcin S.	23. Ceesay J. 14. Dzhikiya G. 20. Ilcin H. 1. Julian (G) 2. Karakoc S. 10. Omur A. 70. Sinik D. 27. Tivsiz E. B. 4. Turkmen H. 99. Yildirim P.
Coaches
Inan S.	Bulut E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Smolcic H. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Giannetti L. ⚽, Safuri R. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Bingol T. ⚽, Linetty K. (A),
45+3', Sari V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Safuri R. 🟨,
58', Ballet S. 🟨,
58', Petkovic B. 🟨,
65', Safuri R. ↓, Omur A. ↑,
73', Churlinov D. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
75', Dikmen S. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
75', Ballet S. ↓, Sinik D. ↑,
79', Rivas R. 🟨,
84', Haidara M. 🟨,
84', van de Streek S. ↓, Yildirim P. ↑,
86', Bingol T. ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,
86', Agyei D. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
90+1', Petkovic B. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).

Kocaelispor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Antalyaspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kocaelispor is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Show (International duty) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Antalyaspor: Julian (Lacking Match Fitness) Kayaarasi K. (Suspended) Yesilyurt E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Antalyaspor: Dzhikiya G. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
14.12.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kocaelispor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.11.25	Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Göztepe - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWWT
- Antalyaspor
Turkish Super League
13.12.25	Antalyaspor - Galatasaray	1:4 ✺
08.12.25	Alanyaspor - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.25	Silifke - Antalyaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
30.11.25	Antalyaspor - Göztepe	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Konyaspor - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Antalyaspor - Kocaelispor	3:1
Club Friendly
15.07.21	Antalyaspor - Kocaelispor	0:1

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