Match Info

Super Lig - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Eyüpspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.1
	3.55	3.13	2.11	Watch
	3.52	3.11	2.34
	3.43	3.11	2.27	Watch
	3.3	3	2.2
	3.51	3.16	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.39)	3.12 ↓ (3.17)	2.23 (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eyüpspor
27.4%

Draw
30.3%

Kocaelispor
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.8%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

29.5%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Kocaelispor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Eyüpspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Eyüpspor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Eyüpspor (votes: 2 - 25%). Kocaelispor (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Eyüpspor (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Kocaelispor (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Eyüpspor (votes: 3 - 30%). Kocaelispor (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Yilmaz J. (G) 17. Ulvan T. 68. Onguene J. 5. Ozyurt B. 77. Meras U. 55. Gezek B. A. 28. Taskin I. (C) 8. Akbaba E. 10. Torres A. 19. Bozok U. 23. Pintor L.	35. Degirmenci G. (C) 22. Oguz A. 5. Balogh B. 6. Smolcic H. 2. Dijksteel A. 8. Keita H. 14. Show 10. Linetty K. 7. Agyei D. 19. Dursun S. 17. Churlinov D.
Substitutes
26. Altunbas M. 20. Legowski M. 2. Lucas Calegari 4. Luccas Claro 1. Marcos Felipe (G) 22. Radu D. 15. Raux Yao C. 25. Sy A. K. 16. Yasar A. 88. Yavuz A.	75. Bingol T. 16. Ceylan D. 18. Gedik F. 21. Haidara M. 94. Narin E. 98. Nonge J. 83. Oztasdelen S. (G) 97. Ozyar A. 11. Sagat A. 23. Yalcin S.
Coaches
Gerin A.	Inan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Onguene J. 🟨,
6', 0 - 1, Dursun S. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Pintor L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Onguene J. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,
48', Dijksteel A. 🟨,
55', Taskin I. 🟨,
60', Yasar A. ↓, Raux Yao C. ↑,
62', Churlinov D. ↓, Bingol T. ↑,
62', Linetty K. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
66', Torres A. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
72', Dursun S. ↓, Haidara M. ↑,
74', Oguz A. 🟨,
80', Ulvan T. ↓, Radu D. ↑,
80', Taskin I. ↓, Legowski M. ↑,
87', Agyei D. ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,
90+4', Altunbas M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).

Recent form of Eyüpspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kocaelispor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kocaelispor might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Susoho M. (Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Eyüpspor: Rotariu D. (Injury) Stepanenko T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Jovanovic A. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eyüpspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Eyüpspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7:4	3	12
18	Eyupspor	6	1	0	5	2:16	-14	3

Last Results with these Odds

Kocaelispor - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.35%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eyüpspor
Turkish Cup
05.03.26	Eyüpspor - Konyaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Göztepe - Eyüpspor	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Eyüpspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Galatasaray - Eyüpspor	5:1 ✺
08.02.26	Eyüpspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWLL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Kocaelispor	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Kocaelispor - Gaziantep	3:0 ✺
09.02.26	Kayserispor - Kocaelispor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
04.10.25	Kocaelispor - Eyüpspor	1:0
Turkish First League
20.01.24	Kocaelispor - Eyüpspor	2:1
21.08.23	Eyüpspor - Kocaelispor	2:0
14.05.22	Eyüpspor - Kocaelispor	2:1
19.12.21	Kocaelispor - Eyüpspor	1:1

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