Match Info

Super Lig - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kocaelispor		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.38	3.2	2.14	Watch
	3.93	3.3	2.18
	3.75	3.34	2.06	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.1
	3.58	3.38	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.18)	3.32 ↓ (3.61)	2.11 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
26.7%

Draw
28.5%

Beşiktaş
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

26.2%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26.7%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	0%	93.7%

Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Beşiktaş (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Beşiktaş will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beşiktaş will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degirmenci G. (C) 22. Oguz A. 2. Dijksteel A. 6. Smolcic H. 5. Balogh B. 8. Keita H. 14. Show 10. Linetty K. 7. Agyei D. 19. Dursun S. 75. Bingol T.	30. Destanoglu E. (G) 62. Murillo M. 12. Agbadou E. 14. Uduokhai F. 33. Yilmaz R. 4. Ndidi W. (C) 23. Asllani K. 11. Under C. 18. Cerny V. 15. Olaitan J. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Substitutes
16. Ceylan D. 17. Churlinov D. 3. Cinan M. 18. Gedik F. 70. Keles C. 98. Nonge J. 83. Oztasdelen S. (G) 99. Rivas R. 11. Sagat A. 23. Yalcin S.	35. Djalo T. 91. Hekimoglu M. 26. Jota Silva 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 58. Ozcan Y. 7. Rashica M. 52. Sahin D. 25. Sazdagi G. 8. Ucan S. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Agbadou E. ⚽, Cerny V. (A),
61', Bingol T. ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
61', Linetty K. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
72', Under C. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
81', Yilmaz R. 🟨,
81', Oguz A. 🟨,
81', Asllani K. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
82', Cerny V. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
83', Hekimoglu M. 🟨,
90+1', Show ↓, Sagat A. ↑,
90+2', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Jota Silva ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Kocaelispor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beşiktaş is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Beşiktaş may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Beşiktaş could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Haidara M. (Yellow Cards) Jovanovic A. (Injury) Susoho M. (Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Kokcu O. (Yellow Cards) Toure E. B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Bulut T. (Injury) Topcu E. (Injury) Uysal N. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 1:3.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	14:7	7	12
6	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7:4	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish Super League
20.02.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Kocaelispor	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Kocaelispor - Gaziantep	3:0 ✺
09.02.26	Kayserispor - Kocaelispor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.26	Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.02.26	Kocaelispor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWTL
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
22.02.26	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Beşiktaş - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.26	Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
31.01.26	Beşiktaş - Konyaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
05.02.26	Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş	1:1
Turkish Super League
29.09.25	Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor	3:1
Club Friendly
21.07.19	Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor	7:1

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