The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kochi United 25.6%
Draw 28.9%
Zweigen Kanazawa 45.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.9%
29.8%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
30.7%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kochi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kochi United's form might have worsened.
Zweigen Kanazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zweigen Kanazawa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kochi United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zweigen Kanazawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
99. Murata Y. (G) 16. Kozuki S. 4. Kobayashi D. 22. Fujimori R. 88. Hama T. 8. Takano Y. 31. Kudo M. 44. Shimoda Y. 7. Kanehara A. 28. Nanamure A. 11. Miyoshi R.
31. Ueda I. (G) 55. Matsumoto D. 2. Yamamoto N. 20. Nagakura H. 28. Suzuki H. 15. Nishiya Y. 40. Kawakami R. 14. Shinomiya Y. 41. Shimada S. 18. Osawa T. 13. Shirawachi K.
Substitutes
26. Asano K. 17. Inose K. (G) 13. Kawata A. 23. Matsumoto D. 19. Origbaajo I. 77. Sato J. 14. Sekino G. 5. Tadokoro R. 73. Tanaka T.
9. Buwanika K. 50. Goto D. (G) 3. Hatao H. 29. Miyazaki K. 16. Mori S. 10. Patric 23. Sakakibara K. 19. Terasaka S. 7. Tosa R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Shimoda Y. ⚽, Kanehara A. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Kawakami R. ⚽, Suzuki H. (A),
43', Matsumoto D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Yamamoto N. 🟨,
57', Miyoshi R. ↓, Sato J. ↑,
69', Shimada S. ↓, Sakakibara K. ↑,
69', Shirawachi K. ↓, Patric ↑,
70', Kanehara A. ↓, Asano K. ↑,
71', Kudo M. ↓, Sekino G. ↑,
77', Suzuki H. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
79', Nanamure A. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
79', Shimoda Y. ↓, Origbaajo I. ↑,
85', Shinomiya Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
86', Osawa T. ↓, Buwanika K. ↑,
90+1', Asano K. 🟨,
90+3', Sato J. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 14).
Kochi United has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kanazawa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kochi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kanazawa has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Kanazawa will win today's game, with odds of 2.23.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kochi United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Kochi United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Kanazawa
10
4
2
4
17:14
3
14
20
Kochi United
10
1
2
7
4:23
-19
5
Last Results with these Odds
Kochi United - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.88%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Zweigen Kanazawa - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.27%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.