Match Info

J3 League - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ishikawa Athletics Stadium (Kanazawa) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Japan	18:00	DAZN Japan


	Zweigen Kanazawa		Nara Club

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.60	2.87
	2.02	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.06	3.84	3.36
	2.2	3.75	2.88	Watch
	1.93	3.75	3.25
	2.06	3.70	3.18	Watch
	2.02	3.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.9)	3.66 ↑ (3.45)	3.09 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zweigen Kanazawa
45.1%

Draw
25.1%

Nara Club
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Nara Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ueda I. (G) 39. Shoji H. 2. Yamamoto N. (C) 20. Nagakura H. 29. Miyazaki K. 15. Nishiya Y. 40. Kawakami R. 14. Shinomiya Y. 41. Shimada S. 13. Shirawachi K. 9. Buwanika K.	96. Vito M. (G) 40. Yoshimura Y. 22. Ikoma K. 16. Okuda Y. 8. Yoshida A. 48. Kawanishi S. 10. Morita R. (C) 11. Sato R. 9. Togashi Y. 54. Kawasaki S. 13. Ando R.
Substitutes
50. Goto D. (G) 3. Hatao H. 26. Murata J. 27. Otani H. 8. Oyama K. 10. Patric 23. Sakakibara K. 28. Suzuki H. 7. Tosa R.	29. Ichimura S. 36. Ishii T. 30. Masuda S. 1. Miyazawa T. (G) 14. Mochizuki S. 99. Morimoto H. 27. Nakayama M. 2. Takahata K. 7. Tamura R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Ando R. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
58', Sato R. ↓, Tamura R. ↑,
65', Kawasaki S. 🟨,
66', Shirawachi K. ↓, Sakakibara K. ↑,
66', Buwanika K. ↓, Patric ↑,
75', Miyazaki K. ↓, Otani H. ↑,
75', Togashi Y. ↓, Ichimura S. ↑,
75', Kawasaki S. ↓, Morimoto H. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Tamura R. ⚽, Morita R. (A),
83', Shimada S. ↓, Tosa R. ↑,
83', Nagakura H. ↓, Suzuki H. ↑,
86', Yoshimura Y. ↓, Takahata K. ↑,
90+4', Vito M. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 4th in the Promotion - J3 League Promotion - Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kanazawa won 3.

In recent outings, Kanazawa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nara Club is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Nara Club may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Kanazawa is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Kanazawa has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:11 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kanazawa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1.3:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nara Club	13	7	2	4	23:21	2	23
10	Kanazawa	13	5	2	6	23:19	4	17

Last Results with these Odds

Nara Club - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 26.78%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
09.10.26	Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Ryūkyū - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
26.09.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gainare Tottori	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWL
- Nara Club
Japan J3 League
10.10.26	Nara Club - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Nagano Parceiro - Nara Club	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Nara Club - Reilac Shiga	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Gainare Tottori - Nara Club	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Nara Club - Gifu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
25.04.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club	1:0
28.03.26	Nara Club - Zweigen Kanazawa	5:1
Japan J3 League
26.07.25	Nara Club - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1
13.04.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club	2:1
24.11.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club	1:0
31.03.24	Nara Club - Zweigen Kanazawa	3:3

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