Match Info

J.League Cup - First stage - 1/64-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium (Kochi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kochi United		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.80	1.62
	4.60	3.60	1.61
	4.70	3.85	1.55	Watch
	5.07	3.88	1.68
	4.68	3.75	1.7
	4.75	3.75	1.66
	4.51	3.95	1.68	Watch
	4.40	3.70	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↓ (5.53)	3.79 ↓ (4.21)	1.64 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kochi United
19.8%

Draw
24.2%

V-Varen Nagasaki
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

21.5%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

19.6%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kochi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and V-Varen Nagasaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Kochi United - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kochi United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Murata Y. (G) 16. Kozuki S. 4. Kobayashi D. 22. Fujimori R. 88. Hama T. 8. Takano Y. 31. Kudo M. 44. Shimoda Y. 7. Kanehara A. 28. Nanamure A. 11. Miyoshi R.	13. Hatano G. (G) 23. Yoneda S. 29. Arai I. 3. Sekiguchi M. 34. Matsumoto T. 7. Yasuda K. 21. Diego Pituca 22. Onaga H. 10. Matheus Jesus 39. Kou R. 11. Campbell N.
Substitutes
26. Asano K. 17. Inose K. (G) 13. Kawata A. 23. Matsumoto D. 15. Sakamoto H. 10. Sasaki T. 77. Sato J. 14. Sekino G. 73. Tanaka T.	31. Doi K. 45. Hyeung-jun N. 26. Ioka K. (G) 20. Nakamura K. 47. Oshita S. 19. Sawada T. 43. Tanaka T. 18. Yamasaki R. 46. Yoshihara K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Kozuki S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kou R. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
61', Yasuda K. ↓, Sawada T. ↑,
62', Campbell N. ↓, Doi K. ↑,
70', Kanehara A. ↓, Sato J. ↑,
70', Miyoshi R. ↓, Asano K. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Diego Pituca ⚽,
83', Shimoda Y. ↓, Sekino G. ↑,
83', Nanamure A. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
83', Matheus Jesus ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
87', Sekiguchi M. 🟨,
88', Kudo M. ↓, Sasaki T. ↑,

Preview

Kochi United has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

V-Varen Nagasaki is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kochi United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, V-Varen Nagasaki is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kochi United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of Japan J League Cup for now

V-Varen Nagasaki: 0.3%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kochi United
Japan J3 League
05.09.26	Tochigi - Kochi United	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Kochi United - Roasso Kumamoto	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
19.08.26	Verspah Oita - Kochi United	3:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
15.08.26	Gifu - Kochi United	7:0 ✺
08.08.26	Kochi United - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Vissel Kobe - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Gamba Osaka	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo	0:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ehime	3:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
21.08.26	Kashiwa Reysol - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
03.07.19	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kochi United	2:1

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