The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kokand 1912 33.2%
Draw 30.2%
Lokomotiv Tashkent 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
28.4%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
27.2%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kokand 1912 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Lokomotiv Tashkent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kokand 1912 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Tashkent than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Tashkent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Davronov R. (G) 5. Yakubov J. 44. Giorgadze A. 14. Yoldoshev I. 6. Salimov A. 8. Gvazava S. 7. Sidikov J. (C) 19. Akromov S. 99. Khasanov M. 11. Nimely S. 17. Sokhibzhonov F.
12. Shevchenko N. (G) 28. Mukhammadiev S. 18. Kucherenko O. 15. Susnjar A. 33. Zoteev O. (C) 70. Reimov M. 45. Nisic J. 17. Mirzaev S. 9. Nurulloev S. 10. Shodiboev S. 8. Tupliev B.
Substitutes
10. Gadoev S. 21. Gulyamov G. 9. Khusanov J. 69. Kondratyuk Y. 20. Malikdzhonov I. 1. Nartadzhiev R. (G) 22. Tabatadze T. 4. Toshtemirov A. 71. Yulchiev E.
7. Abraev K. 30. Bakhodirov J. 16. Baklanov D. (G) 21. Elichich I. 61. Ibraimov N. 14. Ivanov N. 22. Poyonov S. 99. Yakhshiboev J. 26. Yuldashev A.
Coaches
Shipilov A.
Jelicic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Kucherenko O. (Own goal),
12', 2 - 0, Nimely S. ⚽,
37', Yakubov J. 🟨,
45+3', Yoldoshev I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 2 - 1, Gvazava S. (Own goal),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kokand 1912 won 3.
Kokand 1912 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Lokomotiv Tashkent has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Lokomotiv Tashkent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Lokomotiv Tashkent could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kokand 1912 won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Kokand 1912 won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).