Match Info

Super League - Round 12

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Pakhtakor Central Stadium (Tashkent)

Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)


	Pakhtakor		Lokomotiv Tashkent

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.80	4.80
	1.55	3.80	4.95
	1.55	4.00	6.96
	1.57	3.91	5.19	Watch
	1.53	3.60	6.85
	1.57	4.00	5.13
	1.56	3.85	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)	3.85 ↓ (4)	5.55 ↓ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pakhtakor
59.4%

Draw
24%

Lokomotiv Tashkent
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

23.4%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Lokomotiv Tashkent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pakhtakor - Lokomotiv Tashkent Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pakhtakor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Pakhtakor will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kuvvatov S. (G) 4. Tahseen Z. 5. Khamraliev M. 7. Alizhonov K. 24. Saitov D. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 23. Buriev A. 15. Erkinov K. 14. Turdimurodov R. 77. Bozorov O.	1. Kozlov A. (G) 33. Zoteev O. 26. Yuldashev A. 15. Susnjar A. 28. Mukhammadiev S. 70. Reimov M. 7. Abraev K. 17. Mirzaev S. 45. Nisic J. 9. Nurulloev S. 11. Abdukholikov T.
Substitutes
20. Abdullaev D. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 90. Chinedu S. 50. Flamarion 17. Khamdamov D. 10. Mozgovoy A. 34. Nasrullaev S. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 21. Resan B.	61. Ibraimov N. 5. Ismoilov A. 14. Ivanov N. 22. Poyonov S. 12. Shevchenko N. (G) 10. Shodiboev S. 8. Tupliev B. 23. Turopov D. . Yakhshiboev J.
Coaches
Tadzhiev K.	Jelicic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Turdimurodov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Zoteev O. 🟨,
61', Reimov M. ↓, Turopov D. ↑,
61', Abraev K. ↓, Shodiboev S. ↑,
62', Bozorov O. ↓, Khamdamov D. ↑,
62', Erkinov K. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Shodiboev S. ⚽, Nurulloev S. (A),
76', Nurulloev S. ↓, Yakhshiboev J. ↑,
76', Sobirkhuzhaev S. ↓, Mozgovoy A. ↑,
87', Nisic J. ↓, Ivanov N. ↑,
87', Mirzaev S. ↓, Ibraimov N. ↑,
90+2', Susnjar A. 🟨,
90+3', Chinedu S. 🟨,
90+4', Tahseen Z. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 4.

In this match, Pakhtakor is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:17. (average 2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:10. (average 2.7:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pakhtakor	22	14	7	1	39:20	19	49
4	Lok. Tashkent	22	10	5	7	36:28	8	35

Last Results with these Odds

Pakhtakor - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.92%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbek League
03.05.26	Surkhon Termez - Pakhtakor	1:1 ✺
28.04.26	Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Buxoro - Pakhtakor	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand	4:2 ✺
13.04.26	Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTWWW
- Lokomotiv Tashkent
Uzbek League
04.05.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Qizilqum	1:0 ✺
27.04.26	AGMK - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Nasaf Qarshi - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Navbahor Namangan	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Dinamo Samarqand - Lokomotiv Tashkent	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
18.08.24	Pakhtakor - Lokomotiv Tashkent	3:1
14.03.24	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Pakhtakor	3:0
24.10.22	Pakhtakor - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:0
23.05.22	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Pakhtakor	0:2
20.11.21	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Pakhtakor	0:3
04.07.21	Pakhtakor - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:1
29.11.20	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Pakhtakor	0:1

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