Match Info

Toppserien Women - Round 22

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Sofiemyr Stadion (Sofiemyr)

Referee: Holthe M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Kolbotn		Hønefoss

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.37
	2.62	3.4	2.38
	2.92	3.5	2.25
	25.00	5.89	1.13	Watch
	2.52	3.36	2.41	Watch
	2.6	3.35	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.36 ↑ (3.26)	3.8 ↑ (3.4)	2.15 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolbotn
17.7%

Draw
29.7%

Hønefoss
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

26.8%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

25.7%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolbotn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kolbotn's form might have worsened.

Hønefoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hønefoss's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolbotn than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kolbotn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hønefoss than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hønefoss, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kolbotn - Hønefoss Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hønefoss (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duffy S. (G) 11. Ellingsen L. 4. Pettersen A. 13. Anton E. (C) 20. Malloul L. 14. Berg A. 6. Chance O. 19. Hand J. 8. Gamst S. 7. Linberg C. 23. Haga T.	1. Ervik S. (G) 5. Jorgensen A. 28. Obstfelder Svang H. 4. Masdal S. 15. Rovelstad M. 10. Stalesen O. 8. Gumaer K. 7. Ruud E. 25. Vadder I. 11. Hamborg S. K. 21. Nyhagen S. (C)
Substitutes
16. Brualokken I. 52. El Mrizak M. 15. Haugen L. 24. Hilhorst D. 12. Laegreid M. (G) 2. Lefdal J. 18. Lia A. 3. Niss E. 17. Tahirukaj N.	31. Braathen E. (G) 14. Dunsby M. 22. Falkeid M. 17. Haug C. 16. Haug I. 20. Larsen C. 6. Ness M.
Coaches
Sundgot A.	Lindmark M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Ervik S. (Own goal),
38', 1 - 1, Nyhagen S. ⚽, Vadder I. (A),
41', 1 - 2, Stalesen O. ⚽, Gumaer K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Stalesen O. ↓, Larsen C. ↑,
65', Ellingsen L. ↓, Hilhorst D. ↑,
72', Hand J. ↓, Lia A. ↑,
88', Jorgensen A. ↓, Falkeid M. ↑,
88', Vadder I. ↓, Dunsby M. ↑,
88', Malloul L. ↓, Niss E. ↑,
90+5', Hamborg S. K. ↓, Haug I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kolbotn won 4.

Kolbotn is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hønefoss has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Hønefoss may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hønefoss could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kolbotn won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kolbotn won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kolbotn Fotball Women
Norwegian Toppserien Women
25.09.25	Kolbotn - Stabæk	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Vålerenga - Kolbotn	4:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kolbotn - Røa	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	LSK Kvinner - Kolbotn	4:3 ✺
20.08.25	Kolbotn - Brann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLL
- Hønefoss BK Women
Norwegian Cup Women
27.09.25	Rosenborg - Hønefoss	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Toppserien Women
20.09.25	Hønefoss - Stabæk	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Brann - Hønefoss	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Hønefoss - Vålerenga	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Stabæk - Hønefoss	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Toppserien Women
05.08.25	Hønefoss - Kolbotn	2:0
16.04.25	Kolbotn - Hønefoss	3:1
Club Friendly Women
08.03.24	Kolbotn - Hønefoss	2:1
Norwegian Division 1 Women
26.08.23	Kolbotn - Hønefoss	1:0
27.05.23	Hønefoss - Kolbotn	0:4
Norwegian Cup Women
15.05.19	Hønefoss - Kolbotn	2:7

Kolbotn - Hønefoss: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide