Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 13

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Paata Tatarishvili Stadioni (Khobi)


	Kolkheti Khobi		Lokomotivi Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	2.58	5.35	1.9	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.38
	2.98	4.05	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.22)	4.27 ↑ (3.6)	2.07 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolkheti Khobi
34.3%

Draw
21.5%

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

25.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

24.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolkheti Khobi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kolkheti Khobi's form might have worsened.

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotivi Tbilisi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolkheti Khobi than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kolkheti Khobi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotivi Tbilisi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kolkheti Khobi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kolkheti Khobi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Kolkheti Khobi (4.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kolkheti Khobi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Gogatishvili G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, Khachidze S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kolkheti Khobi won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kolkheti Khobi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kolkheti Khobi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kolkheti Khobi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Loco. Tbilisi	22	7	7	8	27:28	-1	28
12	Khobi	22	6	3	13	28:45	-17	21

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotivi Tbilisi - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.06%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kolkheti Khobi
Georgian Liga 3
14.05.26	Kolkheti Khobi - Iberia 2010	5:2 ✺
07.05.26	Guria Lanchkhuti - Kolkheti Khobi	5:0 ✺
03.05.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Kolkheti Khobi	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Kolkheti Khobi - Gardabani	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	WIT Georgia - Kolkheti Khobi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWL
- Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgian Liga 3
21.05.26	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Margveti Zestafoni	1:0 ✺
14.05.26	Gardabani - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Betlemi Keda	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Merani Tbilisi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Didube	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
21.09.24	Kolkheti Khobi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:1
01.06.24	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Kolkheti Khobi	3:3
17.04.24	Kolkheti Khobi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:2
03.11.23	Kolkheti Khobi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:2
23.08.23	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Kolkheti Khobi	2:1
19.05.23	Kolkheti Khobi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:1
31.03.23	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Kolkheti Khobi	0:2

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