Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 12

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi)


	Lokomotivi Tbilisi		Margveti Zestafoni

	1	X	2
	1.74	3.66	4.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)	3.66 ↓ (3.69)	4.01 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
52.4%

Draw
24.9%

Margveti Zestafoni
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

24%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Margveti Zestafoni have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Margveti Zestafoni than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Margveti Zestafoni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 0, Khokhashvili L. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Lokomotivi is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Margveti 2006	22	9	3	10	30:35	-5	30
11	Loco. Tbilisi	22	7	7	8	27:28	-1	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgian Liga 3
14.05.26	Gardabani - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Betlemi Keda	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Merani Tbilisi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Didube	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Orbi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLLL
- Margveti Zestafoni
Georgian Liga 3
14.05.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Iveria Khashuri	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Iberia 2010 - Margveti Zestafoni	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Kolkheti Khobi	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Guria Lanchkhuti - Margveti Zestafoni	5:0 ✺
16.04.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Betlemi Keda	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLT

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