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Current Win Probability
Kolkheti Poti 29.3%
Draw 29.4%
Gagra 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
29%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
28%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kolkheti Poti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kolkheti Poti's form might have worsened.
Gagra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gagra's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolkheti Poti than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kolkheti Poti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gagra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kolkheti Poti - Gagra Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gagra (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dadeshkeliani A. (G) 23. Grigalava R. 38. Meite S. 4. Giunashvili A. 16. Akhaladze G. (C) 34. Oloko-Obi T. 8. Plyushch R. 7. Kharebava G. 20. Bartishvili A. 40. Pachulia D. 13. Kapanadze N.
21. Siukaev A. (G) 22. Borges P. 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. 2. Augusto 25. Wanderson 8. Papuashvili G. 6. Tsintsadze M. (C) 29. Adeyemi R. 26. Ardazishvili R. 18. Zoidze S. 11. Gotsiridze D.
Substitutes
19. Avaliani S. 39. Buliskeria D. (G) 37. Gabriel Ferreira 10. Kutateladze N. 12. Kvirkvelia G. 21. Paghava D. 33. Shekiladze T. 5. Tskhovrebashvili N. 17. Zhou C.
3. Chochia O. 40. Claudinei 33. Kharebashvili G. 16. Osikmashvili L. 5. Salukvadze L. 1. Sciapanau R. (G) 27. Skrypnyk I.
Coaches
Kvirkvelia D.
Oniani G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Kharebava G. (Own goal),
35', 1 - 1, Pachulia D. ⚽, Kapanadze N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gotsiridze D. ↓, Kharebashvili G. ↑,
51', Bartishvili A. ↓, Kutateladze N. ↑,
60', Zoidze S. ↓, Claudinei ↑,
60', Papuashvili G. ↓, Osikmashvili L. ↑,
63', Kharebava G. ↓, Zhou C. ↑,
63', Oloko-Obi T. ↓, Tskhovrebashvili N. ↑,
72', Augusto ↓, Skrypnyk I. ↑,
86', Pachulia D. ↓, Gabriel Ferreira ↑,
86', Kapanadze N. ↓, Shekiladze T. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Claudinei ⚽, Ardazishvili R. (A),
90+2', Ardazishvili R. ↓, Chochia O. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kolkheti won 1.
Kolkheti has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Gagra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Kolkheti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kolkheti has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kolkheti won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Kolkheti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Watch
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Dadeshkeliani A. (G) 
Meite S. 
Oloko-Obi T. 
Plyushch R. 
Kapanadze N. 
Siukaev A. (G) 
Borges P. 
Adeyemi R. 
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