Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Kolos Kovalivka		Olimpik Donetsk

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.15	3.4	2.95
	2.29	3.1	2.85
	2.47	3.35	2.93
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.28	3.34	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.15)	3.29 ↓ (3.41)	2.99 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolos Kovalivka
40.8%

Draw
28.2%

Olimpik Donetsk
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

27.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

18.8%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolos Kovalivka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Olimpik Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kolos Kovalivka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpik Donetsk than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpik Donetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kolos Kovalivka - Olimpik Donetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

Kolos is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Olimpik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Olimpik have a series of home games.

Kolos will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kolos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Kolos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
25.10.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Mynai	2:2 ✺
17.10.20	Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Mariupol	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.09.20	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
27.09.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWWT
- Olimpik Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
24.10.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	0:2 ✺
18.10.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Vorskla Poltava	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Oleksandriya	3:2 ✺
27.09.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Olimpik Donetsk	2:0 ✺
20.09.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Mynai	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
03.11.19	Kolos Kovalivka - Olimpik Donetsk	1:2
Club Friendly
13.10.19	Olimpik Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:0
07.09.19	Olimpik Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:2
Ukrainian Premier League
04.08.19	Olimpik Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1
Club Friendly
29.06.18	Kolos Kovalivka - Olimpik Donetsk	2:1
24.06.17	Kolos Kovalivka - Olimpik Donetsk	1:0
23.01.17	Olimpik Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:2

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