Match Info

SERBIA: SUPER LIGA - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 35

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday

Location: SRC Kolubara (Lazarevac)

Referee: Ilic M. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport


	Kolubara		Napredak Kruševac

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	2.6	2.45
	3.57	2.16	2.87
	3.1	2.4	2.6
	3.5	2.36	2.73
	3.1	2.8	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.13)	2.46 ↓ (2.81)	2.64 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolubara
28.1%

Draw
37.2%

Napredak Kruševac
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

32.8%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

32.8%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolubara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolubara than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	83.3%	5.6%

Kolubara - Napredak Kruševac Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Kolubara will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Napredak will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 66.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Kolubara is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Napredak is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kolubara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Napredak have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kolubara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Kolubara won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kolubara
Serbian Superliga
07.05.23	Javor Ivanjica - Kolubara	2:0 ✺
01.05.23	Kolubara - Spartak Subotica	0:3 ✺
25.04.23	Mladost Novi Sad - Kolubara	1:0 ✺
21.04.23	Kolubara - Mladost Lučani	0:1 ✺
10.04.23	Kolubara - Spartak Subotica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
09.05.23	Napredak Kruševac - Radnički Niš	1:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
03.05.23	Napredak Kruševac - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
30.04.23	Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica	0:1 ✺
26.04.23	Mladost Lučani - Napredak Kruševac	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Napredak Kruševac - Spartak Subotica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
31.03.23	Kolubara - Napredak Kruševac	0:1
01.10.22	Napredak Kruševac - Kolubara	4:0
06.11.21	Kolubara - Napredak Kruševac	1:0
19.07.21	Napredak Kruševac - Kolubara	3:0

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