Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 26

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Kongahälla		Ahlafors

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.18	3.58
	1.74	3.88	3.76
	2.19	3.52	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.3)	3.86 ↑ (3.6)	3.38 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongahälla
49%

Draw
23.8%

Ahlafors
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

25.3%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongahälla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kongahälla's performance.

Ahlafors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ahlafors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongahälla than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kongahälla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ahlafors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kongahälla - Ahlafors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Akerman O. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Jerkersson F. ⚽,
21', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 3, Lind G. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 6)

Kongahälla has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Ahlafors has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kongahälla won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kongahälla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Kongahälla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
11.10.25	Kumla - Kongahälla	4:3 ✺
04.10.25	FBK Karlstad - Kongahälla	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Kongahälla - Herrestads	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Kongahälla - Lidkoping	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Motala - Kongahälla	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
12.10.25	Ahlafors - FBK Karlstad	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Herrestads - Ahlafors	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ahlafors - Skara	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Tord - Ahlafors	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Ahlafors - Tidaholms GoIF	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
24.05.25	Ahlafors - Kongahälla	2:2
22.09.24	Ahlafors - Kongahälla	2:0
31.05.24	Kongahälla - Ahlafors	1:1

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