The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Koninklijke HFC 22.6%
Draw 22.4%
De Treffers 55%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
25.7%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
24.8%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Koninklijke HFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
De Treffers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting De Treffers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koninklijke HFC than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Treffers than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Treffers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Koninklijke HFC - De Treffers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. van der Sar J. (G) 5. Lathouwers R. 64. van der Weijden J. 88. Jansen Q. 2. Ploem M. (C) 14. Mwenda R. 4. Vlak G. 8. Lahri O. 16. Muller J. 9. Donker N. 87. Ladan D.
1. Stoskovic P. (G) 3. Langeveld T. 21. van Ginkel J. 2. Zeller M. 24. Brussaard B. 16. Hazzat R. 10. den Dekker W. 8. van der Heijden S. (C) 18. van Strien R. 9. Waterink T. 17. van Bakel S.
Substitutes
17. de Wilde L. 3. Heeremans R. 7. Klomp F. 44. Meza L. d. 24. Mussche S. 22. Ramdjanamsingh D. 6. Tros K.
31. Frehe C. (G) 6. Ippel R. 4. Joppen G. 7. Maertzdorf C. 5. Sirvania B. 15. van Beukering J. 11. Vlijter G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Donker N. ↓, Klomp F. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Waterink T. ⚽, van Bakel S. (A),
69', Mwenda R. ↓, Ramdjanamsingh D. ↑,
69', Lahri O. ↓, de Wilde L. ↑,
71', van der Heijden S. 🟨,
76', Lathouwers R. ↓, Heeremans R. ↑,
76', Vlak G. ↓, Tros K. ↑,
78', Waterink T. ↓, Vlijter G. ↑,
84', Hazzat R. ↓, Ippel R. ↑,
90', Ploem M. 🟨,
90+4', van Bakel S. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFC won 0.
Recent form of HFC has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
De Treffers is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
De Treffers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, HFC won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, HFC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.9:1.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
De Treffers
8
4
3
1
20:9
11
15
16
HFC
8
1
3
4
11:16
-5
6
Last Results with these Odds
Koninklijke HFC - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.24%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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van der Sar J. (G) 
Mwenda R. 
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