The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Koninklijke HFC 19%
Draw 20.5%
Quick Boys 60.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16%
20.9%
63.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.4%
20.1%
65.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Koninklijke HFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Quick Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koninklijke HFC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quick Boys than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quick Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Koninklijke HFC - Quick Boys Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Bucker K. (C) 19. Ras T. 3. Heeremans R. 2. Ploem M. 14. Kranthove J. 40. Diallo O. 20. de Boer T. 7. Klomp F. 8. Fichtinger M. 10. Ladan D. 12. Klaasen L.
1. Jansen L. (G) 2. van Kaam J. 3. Kroon S. (C) 14. Burger R. 5. Bouwman T. 6. de Beste L. 30. Noordhoff T. 7. Broekhuizen N. 17. van Mil K. 9. Drexhage T. 21. Slor K.
Substitutes
18. Boer W. 9. Donker N. 6. Gemmel F. 15. Kors J. 77. Morgan A. 11. Mwenda R. 1. van der Sar J. (G)
25. Boakye R. 22. Doesburg R. 11. Hamann L. 15. Kuisch G. 8. Reinders J. 20. van den Bosch F. 23. van der Helm Q. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, de Beste L. ⚽, van Mil K. (A),
18', de Beste L. 🟨,
37', Broekhuizen N. 🟨,
41', Kranthove J. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Slor K. ⚽, van Kaam J. (A),
45', 1 - 2, Heeremans R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ras T. ↓, Kors J. ↑,
46', Kranthove J. ↓, Morgan A. ↑,
64', Broekhuizen N. ↓, Hamann L. ↑,
73', de Beste L. ↓, Reinders J. ↑,
76', de Boer T. ↓, Mwenda R. ↑,
76', Diallo O. ↓, Donker N. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Kors J. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, Hamann L. ⚽, van Kaam J. (A),
83', Noordhoff T. 🟨,
86', Fichtinger M. ↓, Boer W. ↑,
88', van Mil K. ↓, Doesburg R. ↑,
88', Drexhage T. ↓, Boakye R. ↑,
90', Ladan D. 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 14th and 1st).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFC won 1.
HFC has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Quick Boys shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Quick Boys could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Quick Boys is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, HFC has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:9 (averaging 1.1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HFC against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:5 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Quick Boys
8
7
0
1
22:6
16
21
16
HFC
8
1
3
4
11:16
-5
6
Last Results with these Odds
Quick Boys - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 63.14%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.