Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 9

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Korabi Peshkopi		Pogradeci

	1	X	2
	12.00	4.66	1.22	Watch
	11.8	4.33	1.26
	21	5	1.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.93 ↑ (5.81)	4.66 ↑ (3.6)	1.2 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korabi Peshkopi
6%

Draw
19.3%

Pogradeci
74.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

25%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

24.6%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korabi Peshkopi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Korabi Peshkopi's form might have worsened.

Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogradeci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korabi Peshkopi than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Korabi Peshkopi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogradeci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).

In recent matches, Korabi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pogradeci is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pogradeci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Korabi has had a series of away games.

In this match, Pogradeci is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Korabi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Korabi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korabi Peshkopi
Albanian First Division
24.10.25	Iliria - Korabi Peshkopi	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Korabi Peshkopi - Lushnja	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Burreli - Korabi Peshkopi	0:3 ✺
19.09.25	Laçi - Korabi Peshkopi	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kastrioti - Korabi Peshkopi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLT
- KS Pogradeci
Albanian First Division
25.10.25	Pogradeci - Kastrioti	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci	1:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
15.10.25	Pogradeci - Delvina	4:0 ✺
Albanian First Division
03.10.25	Pogradeci - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Kukësi - Pogradeci	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
30.10.24	Korabi Peshkopi - Pogradeci	3:1
07.03.22	Korabi Peshkopi - Pogradeci	1:0

Korabi Peshkopi - Pogradeci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide