Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 3

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
New Zealand	02:00	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA


	Kukësi		Pogradeci

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.25	2.12	Watch
	2.70	3.20	2.14
	3.89	3.51	1.80	Watch
	2.85	3.20	2.10
	3.27	3.18	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (4.08)	3.27 ↓ (3.39)	2.04 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kukësi
28.7%

Draw
27.4%

Pogradeci
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.9%

26.4%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kukësi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kukësi's performance.

Pogradeci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogradeci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Kukësi - Pogradeci Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Kukësi (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kukësi (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 0 - 2, ⚽,
80', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Pogradeci is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kukësi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kukësi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Pogradeci	7	3	4	0	11:5	6	13
4	Kukesi	7	4	0	3	10:8	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Kukësi
Albanian First Division
12.09.26	Iliria - Kukësi	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kukësi - Besëlidhja Lezhë	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Skënderbeu Korçë - Kukësi	2:1 ✺
Albanian First Division
28.05.26	Kukësi - Butrinti	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Kukësi - Bylis B	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWL
- KS Pogradeci
Albanian First Division
12.09.26	Pogradeci - Kastrioti	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Iliria - Pogradeci	0:0 ✺
Albanian Super League
16.05.26	Teuta Durrës - Pogradeci	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Pogradeci - Besa Kavajë	0:0 ✺
07.05.26	Pogradeci - Kastrioti	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
11.04.26	Pogradeci - Kukësi	5:1
13.12.25	Pogradeci - Kukësi	2:0
27.09.25	Kukësi - Pogradeci	1:3
10.01.25	Kukësi - Pogradeci	3:1
Albanian Cup
20.11.24	Kukësi - Pogradeci	2:1

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