Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 22

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Korba		Ariana

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.98	4.55
	1.52	3.44	6.07
	1.82	3.05	4.61	Watch
	1.83	2.8	4.5
	1.77	3.04	4.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)	3.06 ↑ (2.97)	4.91 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korba
51.9%

Draw
29.6%

Ariana
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

30.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

32.4%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ariana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korba than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Korba - Ariana Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 4)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Korba is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korba won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Korba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Korba
Tunisian Ligue 2
04.04.26	Kasserine - Korba	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Korba - Jendouba Sport	2:1 ✺
Tunisian Cup
22.03.26	Zarzis - Korba	1:0 penalties ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
27.02.26	Kalaâ - Korba	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Korba - Union Ksour Essef	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLLT
- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
04.04.26	Jendouba Sport - Ariana	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Ariana - Union Ksour Essef	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Redeyef - Ariana	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Ariana - Stade Gabèsien	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Djelma - Ariana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
16.11.25	Ariana - Korba	0:2
13.04.25	Ariana - Korba	2:0
31.05.24	Korba - Ariana	2:1
16.12.23	Ariana - Korba	0:0
05.04.19	Ariana - Korba	2:2

Korba - Ariana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide