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Current Win Probability
Korona Kielce 42.1%
Draw 26.8%
Raków Częstochowa 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
28.3%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.6%
26.4%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Korona (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dziekonski X. (G) 71. Dlugosz W. 23. Rubezic S. 2. Mosor A. 6. Pieczek M. 30. Mena C. 35. Jakubczyk K. 32. Lingr O. 18. Hellebrand P. 19. Ameyaw M. 14. Stepinski M. (C)
1. Trelowski K. (C) 3. Brorsson A. 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. 20. Silva J. C. 6. Repka O. 5. Bulat M. 21. Pienko T. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 11. Emreli M. 9. Makuch P.
Substitutes
99. Bak D. 67. Barczak N. 7. Blanik D. 21. Ciszek K. 9. Davidovic S. 22. Fassbender M. 86. Gustafson S. 87. Mamla R. (G) 10. Nono 8. Remacle M. 24. Smolarczyk B. 44. Sotiriou K.
22. Abraham O. 99. Basse A. 39. Brusberg I. 77. Debohi D. G. 17. Jendryka J. 71. Karic T. (G) 15. Kwiatkowski O. 44. Mircetic B. 88. Molnar A. 36. Perovic M. 23. Struski K. 19. Zatterstrom N.
Coaches
Zielinski J.
Kaczmarek T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Jakubczyk K. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Stepinski M. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 2 - 0, Mena C. ⚽, Dlugosz W. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Pienko T. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽, Repka O. (A),
62', 3 - 1, Stepinski M. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Brorsson A. ↓, Mircetic B. ↑,
67', Makuch P. ↓, Basse A. ↑,
68', Pienko T. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
70', Dlugosz W. ↓, Barczak N. ↑,
70', Mena C. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
80', Stepinski M. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
80', Emreli M. ↓, Brusberg I. ↑,
80', Bulat M. ↓, Molnar A. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Mircetic B. ⚽,
90+1', Fassbender M. 🟨,
90+2', Lingr O. ↓, Gustafson S. ↑,
90+4', Mircetic B. 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th and 18th in the Relegation ~ Division 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.
Korona is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Raków is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Korona may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Raków has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Korona holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Korona: Zwozny H.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Raków: Tudor F.
(Yellow Cards).
Doubtful / questionable for Korona: Blanik D.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Raków: Otieno E.
(Inactive).
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Korona has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:21 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Korona against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 15:11 goals (averaging 1.5:1.1 per game).
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Dziekonski X. (G) 
Rubezic S. 
Mena C. 
Lingr O. 
Brorsson A. 
Racovitan B. 
Svarnas S. 
Silva J. C. 
Bulat M. 
Diaby-Fadiga L. 
Emreli M. 
Fassbender M. 
Remacle M. 
Sotiriou K. 
Abraham O. 
Debohi D. G. 
Karic T. (G) 
Mircetic B. 
Molnar A. 
