Match Info

ALGERIA: Algeria Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Kouba		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.1	1.65
	5.8	3.1	1.66
	5.33	3.18	1.66
	5.64	3.16	1.68	Watch
	5.8	3	1.7
	5.91	3.13	1.64
	5.8	3.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.65 ↑ (5.5)	3.11 ↑ (2.53)	1.66 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kouba
16.1%

Draw
29.2%

USM Alger
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

35.9%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

35.2%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kouba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USM Alger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kouba than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for USM Alger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kouba - USM Alger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, Benhaddad M. (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Kouba is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

USM Alger is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match USM Alger is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Kouba
Algerian Ligue 2
06.03.25	JSM Tiaret - Kouba	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Kouba - Oued Sly	3:1 ✺
19.02.25	WA Mostaganem - Kouba	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Kouba - SC Mecheria	4:1 ✺
11.02.25	Témouchent - Kouba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWT
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
06.03.25	USM Alger - Mostaganem	1:0 ✺
27.02.25	El Bayadh - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	USM Alger - Magra	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Biskra - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
10.02.25	USM Alger - Magra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWTW

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