Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Zakaria Medjdoub Stadium (El Bayadh)


	El Bayadh		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.72	2.68
	3.2	2.87	2.48
	2.97	2.74	2.72	Watch
	2.88	2.63	2.63
	2.8	2.7	2.61	Watch
	3.35	2.8	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.35)	2.74 ↓ (2.8)	2.55 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Bayadh
30.5%

Draw
33.5%

USM Alger
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

32%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

31.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Bayadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USM Alger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Bayadh than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USM Alger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	71.4%	28.6%

El Bayadh - USM Alger Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Djoudar A. (G) 7. Adjout L. 9. Amokrane A. 27. Atallah I. (C) 15. Belkhadem M. 24. Benyahia D. 12. Haddad A. 18. Kaidi I. E. 23. Meddah A. 4. Merouani M. 14. Yerou O.	25. Benbot O. (G) 28. Abada A. 24. Bouderbala M. 13. Dehiri H. 27. Ghacha H. 29. Kamagate D. 11. Likonza G. 4. Malone Junior C. 8. Merili I. 19. Radouani S. (C) 30. Tendeng A.
Substitutes
17. Belmiloud K. . Benbrahim M. S. 28. Bouchoucha M. 29. Chelali A. 16. Cherif M. (G) 10. Dahmani K. 5. Ghanem A. 26. Kouar B. 21. Mahboub A. A.	3. Atmania S. 5. Azzi I. 9. Benayad R. 14. Benzaza B. 26. Boulares O. 22. Boutaoui M. 23. Chetti I. 20. Mahrouz R. 16. Soufi K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
79', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Bayadh won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, El Bayadh won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, El Bayadh won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	USM Alger	3	2	1	0	5:2	3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MC El Bayadh
Algerian Ligue 1
20.02.26	Belouizdad - El Bayadh	0:0 ✺
13.02.26	El Bayadh - ASO Chlef	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	ES Sétif - El Bayadh	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	El Bayadh - Rouissat	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Constantine - El Bayadh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 TLTWT
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
21.02.26	USM Alger - Saoura	1:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
14.02.26	USM Alger - Olympic Safi	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	San-Pédro - USM Alger	2:3 ✺
01.02.26	Djoliba - USM Alger	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	USM Alger - Djoliba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
29.09.25	USM Alger - El Bayadh	1:1
27.02.25	El Bayadh - USM Alger	2:1
06.10.24	USM Alger - El Bayadh	1:0
10.05.24	USM Alger - El Bayadh	2:1
15.12.23	El Bayadh - USM Alger	1:1
03.03.23	El Bayadh - USM Alger	0:0
27.08.22	USM Alger - El Bayadh	1:0

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