Match Info

League Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Kowloon City		Eastern District

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.50	2.10
	2.75	3.50	2.12
	3.00	3.60	2.13
	2.78	3.94	2.09
	2.95	3.40	2.10
	2.74	4.18	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.48)	3.69 ↓ (4.11)	2.11 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kowloon City
32.1%

Draw
24.7%

Eastern District
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

23.1%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kowloon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kowloon City's form might have worsened.

Eastern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Kwong T. (G) 8. Chiu W. 5. Eli D. (C) 95. Fung T. W. 4. Kang Jun-Hyeon 47. Koudakpo A. 17. Kwok Chun-Nok 24. Lucena S. 7. Mikael 9. Popovic N. 10. Rikelmi	31. Li Y. (G) 15. Bruno Luiz 5. Helio (C) 32. Korani K. 17. Leo 21. Leung Y. 13. Li Ngai-Hoi 11. Luizinho 7. Michel Renner 8. Scott C. 3. Sung K.
Substitutes
11. Chen Ngo-Hin 1. Cheung Kwai-Wa (G) 90. Joao Souza 12. Law C. 66. Leung H. A. (G) 19. Liang J. 18. Slattery M. 21. Tsang Kam-To 31. Wong H. 91. Wong L. 2. Yu Pui-Hong	4. Bruno Bianconi 26. Chan Y. 16. Kwok T. B. 20. McMillan M. 14. Pan Z. 23. Paulo Cesar (G) 18. Pirie McArthur M. A. 10. Salinas A. 44. Wong C. 27. Yeung Cheuk-Kwan 72. Yoong K. 22. Yuen C. H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Li Ngai-Hoi ⚽,
42', Leo 🟨,
45+1', Sung K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Fung T. W. ↓, Joao Souza ↑,
60', Popovic N. ↓, Law C. ↑,
61', Bruno Luiz 🟨,
62', Li Ngai-Hoi ↓, McMillan M. ↑,
62', Leo ↓, Salinas A. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Rikelmi ⚽,
67', Leung Y. ↓, Yoong K. ↑,
67', Korani K. ↓, Kwok T. B. ↑,
73', Chiu W. ↓, Yu Pui-Hong ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Helio ⚽,
81', Rikelmi ↓, Chen Ngo-Hin ↑,
81', Kwok Chun-Nok ↓, Wong L. ↑,

Preview

Eastern District may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Kowloon City has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kowloon City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kowloon City FC
Hong Kong Senior Shield
19.09.26	Kowloon City - Hong Kong FC	4:1 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
13.09.26	Sha Tin - Kowloon City	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Eastern AA - Kowloon City	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Southern District - Kowloon City	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Kowloon City - Hong Kong FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLT
- Eastern District SA
Hong Kong Senior Shield
20.09.26	Southern District - Eastern District	2:1 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
11.09.26	Lee Man - Eastern District	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Kitchee - Eastern District	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Hong Kong Rangers - Eastern District	1:3 ✺
Hong Kong FA Cup
30.05.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern District	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
19.04.26	Kowloon City - Eastern District	2:1
29.10.25	Eastern District - Kowloon City	0:1
Hong Kong Senior Shield
03.09.25	Kowloon City - Eastern District	2:1 ET

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