Match Info

FA Cup - Final

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Mong Kok Stadium (Hongkong)


	Wofoo Tai Po		Eastern District

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.95	4.85
	1.53	3.95	4.96
	1.57	4.25	5.05
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.54	3.88	5.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.62)	3.91 ↓ (5)	5.01 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wofoo Tai Po
58.7%

Draw
23.2%

Eastern District
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

18.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

17.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wofoo Tai Po has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Eastern District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eastern District might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wofoo Tai Po than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern District than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern District Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lo S. (G) 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. 10. Fernando 33. Gabriel Cividini 26. Lee Ka-Ho 14. Marcao 20. Patrick Valverde 18. Sartori I. (C) 13. Sim S. 44. Weverton Rangel 34. Wong Hin-Sum	23. Paulo Cesar (G) 8. Andric A. 4. Bruno Bianconi 5. Helio (C) 77. Ho K. 18. Kuach Yuel V. 9. Leo 27. Li Ngai-Hoi 47. Takatori S. 72. Yoong K. 35. Yunho N.
Substitutes
80. Chung Wai-Keung 5. Dujardin A. 17. Kwok Chun-Nok 23. Lee Lok-Him 9. Paulinho Simionato 94. Tse Ka-Wing (G) 28. Tsui L. 2. Yeung H.	11. Chang H. M. 26. Chan Y. 54. Chan Yin-Hei 10. Gu Bin 16. Kwok T. B. 12. Lam C. 21. Leung Y. 31. Li Y. (G) 17. Manzoki C. 44. Wong C. 3. Wong C. S. 14. Yeung Cheuk-Kwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Chan Siu-Kwan P. ⚽,
22', Paulo Cesar 🟨,
28', Lee Ka-Ho 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Chan Siu-Kwan P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ho K. ↓, Yeung Cheuk-Kwan ↑,
46', Lee Ka-Ho ↓, Chung Wai-Keung ↑,
55', Sartori I. ↓, Paulinho Simionato ↑,
64', Patrick Valverde ↓, Lee Lok-Him ↑,
75', Yoong K. ↓, Gu Bin ↑,
87', Chan Siu-Kwan P. ↓, Kwok Chun-Nok ↑,
87', Wong Hin-Sum ↓, Dujardin A. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Kuach Yuel V. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Marcao 🟨,
90', Kwok Chun-Nok 🟨,
90+5', Yunho N. ↓, Manzoki C. ↑,
90+13', Paulinho Simionato 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Tai Po is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Eastern District has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Tai Po is a strong favorite.

We predict that Tai Po will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tai Po won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tai Po won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wofoo Tai Po
Hong Kong FA Cup
23.05.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Hong Kong Rangers	2:0 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
17.05.26	Lee Man - Wofoo Tai Po	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Eastern AA - Wofoo Tai Po	2:4 ✺
02.05.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Kitchee	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Wofoo Tai Po - North District	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWWW
- Eastern District SA
Hong Kong FA Cup
24.05.26	Eastern District - North District	3:2 penalties ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
16.05.26	Eastern District - Hong Kong Rangers	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Southern District - Eastern District	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Eastern District - Hong Kong FC	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Kowloon City - Eastern District	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
11.04.26	Eastern District - Wofoo Tai Po	1:3
22.11.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern District	1:0

Upcoming Matches