The best margin for this event is 13.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kozani 14%
Draw 26%
Apollon Kalamaria 60.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.7%
25.5%
61.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Kozani have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Apollon Kalamaria have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kozani than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Kalamaria than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
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Key Events of the Match
(0 - 2)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 2 (Losers stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 2 (Winners stage: )).
Kozani is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kalamaria is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Kalamaria is the obvious favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kozani won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
Including home match between the teams, Kozani won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.