Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - DIVISION B - GROUP 3 - ROUND 14

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Krasnoye Znamya		Arsenal 2 Tula

	1	X	2
	3.46	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.45	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.37)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	1.91 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnoye Znamya
26.4%

Draw
26.1%

Arsenal 2 Tula
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

26.2%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

26.9%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnoye Znamya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Arsenal 2 Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnoye Znamya than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Znamya Noginsk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arsenal 2 Tula will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Znamya Noginsk won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Znamya Noginsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krasnoye Znamya Noginsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
15.10.23	Sakhalinets Moscow - Krasnoye Znamya	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Krasnoye Znamya - Strogino Moskva	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Dynamo Vladivostok - Krasnoye Znamya	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Krasnoye Znamya - Ryazan	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Krasnoye Znamya - Kvant Obninsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WTWTW
- Arsenal 2 Tula
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
15.10.23	Arsenal 2 Tula - Saturn Ramenskoye	3:2 ✺
01.10.23	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kaluga	0:0 ✺
22.09.23	Khimki 2 - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:3 ✺
17.09.23	Arsenal 2 Tula - SKA Khabarovsk 2	3:1 ✺
27.08.23	Kompozit Pavlovsky Posad - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
29.04.23	Arsenal 2 Tula - Krasnoye Znamya	2:0
07.05.22	Krasnoye Znamya - Arsenal 2 Tula	4:1
03.04.22	Arsenal 2 Tula - Krasnoye Znamya	0:2

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