Match Info

Date: 11 October 2020, Sunday


	Krasnoye Znamya		Sokol Saratov

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.75	1.65
	4.2	3.55	1.64
	4.63	3.93	1.68
	4.75	3.74	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.02)	3.74 ↑ (3.37)	1.65 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnoye Znamya
20.3%

Draw
24.4%

Sokol Saratov
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27.1%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

18.8%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnoye Znamya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krasnoye Znamya's form might have worsened.

Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sokol Saratov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnoye Znamya than the current prediction. (+23.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krasnoye Znamya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (-25.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sokol Saratov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion to FNL).

Recent matches Znamya Noginsk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sokol Saratov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sokol Saratov is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Znamya Noginsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Znamya Noginsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krasnoye Znamya Noginsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
05.10.20	Metallurg Vidnoe - Krasnoye Znamya	1:2 ✺
27.09.20	Sakhalin - Krasnoye Znamya	0:0 ✺
21.09.20	Khimki 2 - Krasnoye Znamya	1:3 ✺
Russian Cup
17.09.20	Krasnoye Znamya - Akhmat Grozny	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
12.09.20	Krasnoye Znamya - Kvant Obninsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLL
- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
04.10.20	Sokol Saratov - Fakel Voronezh 2	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	Kaluga - Sokol Saratov	1:2 ✺
20.09.20	Sokol Saratov - Avangard Kursk	0:0 ✺
12.09.20	Saturn Ramenskoye - Sokol Saratov	2:0 ✺
07.09.20	Metallurg Vidnoe - Sokol Saratov	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
02.09.20	Krasnoye Znamya - Sokol Saratov	1:0 penalties

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