Match Info

Date: 10 November 2021, Wednesday


	Kaluga		Sokol Saratov

	1	X	2
	3.9	3	1.9
	3.85	3	1.9
	3.6	3.15	1.87
	3.78	3.15	1.88
	4	3.2	1.83
	3.76	3.45	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (7.75)	3.16 ↓ (4.8)	1.88 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
23.6%

Draw
28.5%

Sokol Saratov
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

18.9%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.4%

16.7%

78.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaluga's performance.

Sokol Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sokol Saratov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaluga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (+30.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokol Saratov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kaluga - Sokol Saratov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Kaluga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sokol Saratov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sokol Saratov is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kaluga won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Kaluga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
04.11.21	Ryazan - Kaluga	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Kaluga - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:1 ✺
21.10.21	Sakhalin - Kaluga	0:1 ✺
19.10.21	Dynamo Vladivostok - Kaluga	0:0 ✺
10.10.21	Kaluga - Salyut Belgorod	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWTL
- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
03.11.21	Sokol Saratov - Sakhalin	3:0 ✺
31.10.21	Sokol Saratov - Dynamo Vladivostok	2:2 ✺
25.10.21	Arsenal 2 Tula - Sokol Saratov	1:4 ✺
19.10.21	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
14.10.21	Avangard Kursk - Sokol Saratov	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.09.21	Sokol Saratov - Kaluga	1:0
11.04.21	Sokol Saratov - Kaluga	1:2
27.09.20	Kaluga - Sokol Saratov	1:2
Russian PFL Center
12.10.19	Kaluga - Sokol Saratov	1:1
11.05.19	Sokol Saratov - Kaluga	1:0
29.09.18	Kaluga - Sokol Saratov	0:3
16.05.18	Kaluga - Sokol Saratov	1:3

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