Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday


	Kray		Baumberg

	1	X	2
	4.1	4	1.6
	4	4.2	1.56
	4.56	4.27	1.62
	3.82	4	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (4.3)	4.12 ↓ (4.15)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kray
22%

Draw
22%

Baumberg
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

21.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

19.7%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Baumberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kray than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baumberg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Kray is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Baumberg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kray could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baumberg is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kray won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Kray won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kray
German Oberliga Niederrhein
16.10.22	TVD Velbert - Kray	6:1 ✺
12.10.22	Kray - FSV Duisburg	5:0 ✺
09.10.22	Schonnebeck - Kray	2:0 ✺
02.10.22	Kray - Sonsbeck	3:6 ✺
25.09.22	Kray - Cronenberger	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- Sportfreunde Baumberg
German Oberliga Niederrhein
15.10.22	Baumberg - Monheim	3:1 ✺
11.10.22	Kleve - Baumberg	2:1 ✺
07.10.22	Baumberg - TuRU Düsseldorf	4:0 ✺
02.10.22	Hilden - Baumberg	1:0 ✺
25.09.22	Baumberg - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Niederrhein
10.11.21	Kray - Baumberg	0:3
20.09.20	Kray - Baumberg	1:3
21.05.17	Baumberg - Kray	4:4
27.11.16	Kray - Baumberg	2:2

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