Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 25

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Kristianstads Fotbollsarena (Kristianstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Kristianstad		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.30	2.05
	2.90	3.40	2.08
	3.02	3.69	2.15
	3.15	3.76	2.06	Watch
	2.95	3.65	2.07
	3.03	3.66	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.2)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	2.09 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristianstad
30.6%

Draw
25.6%

AFC Malmö
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

26.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

25.4%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristianstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristianstad than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Kristianstad - AFC Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Larsson O. (G) 6. Alsen K. 9. Dampha O. 15. Hughes A. 2. Klevendal W. 25. Kronvall O. 11. Lilja P. 21. Lindberg V. 24. Nennesson K. 19. Svedin S. 3. Svensson L. (C)	1. Brandin O. (G) 22. Alievski E. 36. Bjorkqvist M. 9. Bohman F. 19. Fatahi M. 8. Harletun K. 2. Karim S. 21. Martinsson F. 14. Minter Wettergren L. 10. Reuterskiold A. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A. (C)
Substitutes
5. Agardius V. 16. Asterman Fridman V. 20. Chrupalla P. 14. Henningsson A. 8. Kamp A. 30. Softberg M. (G) 7. Wikstrom S.	30. Awad A. 23. Dickson K. 7. Kohler N. 4. Larsen L. 99. Sener C. 20. Sinanov N. 25. Sjoberg J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Harletun K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Harletun K. ↓, Kohler N. ↑,
66', Nennesson K. ↓, Kamp A. ↑,
67', Kronvall O. ↓, Chrupalla P. ↑,
74', Lilja P. 🟨,
80', Klevendal W. ↓, Agardius V. ↑,
80', Alsen K. ↓, Asterman Fridman V. ↑,
81', Minter Wettergren L. ↓, Sener C. ↑,
82', Bjorkqvist M. ↓, Sinanov N. ↑,
89', Bohman F. ↓, Awad A. ↑,
90+1', Sinanov N. 🟨,
90+3', Brandin O. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 13th in the Division 1 - Relegation Promotion - Playoffs and 5th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with AFC Malmö holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Kristianstad has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:5 (averaging 1.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kristianstad against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AFC Malmo	25	11	8	6	45:35	10	41
13	Kristianstad	25	7	6	12	29:37	-8	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristianstads FC
Swedish Division 1 Södra
25.09.26	Lunds - Kristianstad	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Laholms - Kristianstad	2:3 ✺
17.09.26	Kristianstad - Olympic	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Kristianstad - Jönköpings Södra	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Hässleholm - Kristianstad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWLTL
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
27.09.26	Eskilsminne - AFC Malmö	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	AFC Malmö - Utsikten	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Hässleholm - AFC Malmö	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Tvååker - AFC Malmö	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	AFC Malmö - Åtvidaberg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
03.04.26	AFC Malmö - Kristianstad	2:1
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
17.09.22	AFC Malmö - Kristianstad	2:2
29.05.22	Kristianstad - AFC Malmö	2:1

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