Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 5 - ROUND 18

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday


	Kristiansund 2		Tiller

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.99	8.35
	1.2	7.6	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (2.17)	6.8 ↑ (3.62)	8.28 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristiansund 2
75.5%

Draw
13.4%

Tiller
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

24.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

24.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristiansund 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+35%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kristiansund 2's performance.

Tiller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tiller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund 2 than the current prediction. (-35%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kristiansund 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiller than the current prediction. (+24.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tiller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Kristiansund 2 - Tiller Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kristiansund 2 will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tiller will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kristiansund 2: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kristiansund 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kristiansund 2 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kristiansund 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristiansund BK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
27.08.23	Kristiansund 2 - Byåsen	1:5 ✺
20.08.23	Steinkjer - Kristiansund 2	4:2 ✺
07.08.23	Rosenborg II - Kristiansund 2	0:4 ✺
30.07.23	Kristiansund 2 - Rana	0:5 ✺
22.07.23	Trønder-Lyn - Kristiansund 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWLW
- Tiller IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
27.08.23	Tiller - Steinkjer	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Byåsen - Tiller	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Tiller - Orkla FK	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	Verdal - Tiller	1:5 ✺
29.07.23	Tiller - Trønder-Lyn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
14.05.23	Tiller - Kristiansund 2	5:1

Kristiansund 2 - Tiller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide