Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 14

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday


	Tiller		Orkla FK

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.75	5
	1.47	4.46	4.87
	1.51	4.68	4.76	Watch
	1.55	5.23	4.29
	1.45	4.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.82)	4.77 ↑ (4.5)	4.78 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiller
61.6%

Draw
19.2%

Orkla FK
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

20.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

19.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiller's performance.

Orkla FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orkla FK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiller than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orkla FK than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orkla FK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tiller - Orkla FK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Frones J. S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Lynum E. ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, Forren E. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 9 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tiller won 2.

Recent matches Tiller is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Orkla is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tiller could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tiller will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tiller won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Tiller won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiller IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
20.07.24	Nardo - Tiller	1:2 ✺
24.06.24	Tiller - Stabæk 2	2:2 ✺
15.06.24	Tiller - Rosenborg II	2:2 ✺
08.06.24	Melhus - Tiller	3:0 ✺
03.06.24	Tiller - Strømsgodset 2	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WTTLW
- Orkla FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
24.07.24	Orkla FK - Trygg Lade	1:2 ✺
22.06.24	Verdal - Orkla FK	2:2 ✺
16.06.24	Orkla FK - Rana	0:3 ✺
08.06.24	Rosenborg II - Orkla FK	3:0 ✺
01.06.24	Orkla FK - Lillestrøm 2	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
12.08.23	Tiller - Orkla FK	2:2
29.05.23	Orkla FK - Tiller	2:3
03.09.22	Orkla FK - Tiller	4:3
04.06.22	Tiller - Orkla FK	2:3
Club Friendly
10.03.22	Orkla FK - Tiller	2:5
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
23.10.21	Tiller - Orkla FK	4:0
26.10.19	Orkla FK - Tiller	4:1

Tiller - Orkla FK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide