Match Info

2. SNL - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Portoval (Novo Mesto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 9
Serbia	SportKlub 9


	Krka		Brinje-Grosuplje

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6	4.33	1.39
	7.7	4.85	1.29
	7.19	4.8	1.32
	25.00	13.84	1.00	Watch
	7.1	4.6	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.6 ↑ (6.28)	6.48 ↑ (4.15)	1.27 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krka
9.1%

Draw
14.9%

Brinje-Grosuplje
76%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

22.8%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

22.4%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krka's form might have worsened.

Brinje-Grosuplje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brinje-Grosuplje's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krka than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brinje-Grosuplje than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brinje-Grosuplje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Krka - Brinje Grosuplje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 0 - 2, ⚽,
73', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krka won 2.

Krka is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brinje-Grosuplje is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Brinje-Grosuplje is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Krka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Krka won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Krka
Slovenian 2 SNL
07.09.25	Beltinci - Krka	4:0 ✺
31.08.25	Krka - Bilje	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Nafta - Krka	4:2 ✺
18.08.25	Krka - Bistrica	0:4 ✺
09.08.25	Tabor Sežana - Krka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLT
- NK Brinje-Grosuplje
Slovenian 2 SNL
05.09.25	Brinje-Grosuplje - Rudar Velenje	4:2 ✺
30.08.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Brinje-Grosuplje	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Brinje-Grosuplje - Triglav	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Brinje-Grosuplje	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Beltinci - Brinje-Grosuplje	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
19.04.25	Krka - Brinje-Grosuplje	1:0
06.11.24	Brinje-Grosuplje - Krka	1:1
04.05.24	Brinje-Grosuplje - Krka	2:1
15.10.23	Krka - Brinje-Grosuplje	0:0
12.11.22	Brinje-Grosuplje - Krka	1:3
29.07.22	Krka - Brinje-Grosuplje	4:1
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Brinje-Grosuplje - Krka	2:3

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