Match Info

2. SNL - Round 23

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Slovan Ljubljana		Krka

	1	X	2
	2.52	3	2.62	Watch
	2.48	3.08	2.62
	4.93	4.42	1.55	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.63
	2.47	3.08	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.25)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)	2.41 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovan Ljubljana
31.8%

Draw
28.8%

Krka
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovan Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slovan Ljubljana's form might have worsened.

Krka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Krka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slovan Ljubljana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Krka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Slovan Ljubljana - Krka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 🟥,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).

Slovan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Krka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Slovan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Slovan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Slovan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Slovan Ljubljana	9	5	1	3	13:15	-2	16
14	NK Krka	9	2	1	6	9:16	-7	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
08.04.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Rudar Velenje - Slovan Ljubljana	4:0 ✺
20.03.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Triglav	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Slovan Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Beltinci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL
- NK Krka
Slovenian 2 SNL
03.04.26	Krka - Triglav	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Krka	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Krka - Beltinci	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Bilje - Krka	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Krka - Nafta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
28.09.25	Krka - Slovan Ljubljana	2:1
23.11.24	Slovan Ljubljana - Krka	2:1
09.08.24	Krka - Slovan Ljubljana	1:1

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