Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 30

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday


	Krumovgrad		Dobrudzha Dobrich

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.2	2.6
	1.98	3.6	3.1
	2.58	2.88	2.84	Watch
	2.22	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.99)	3.31 ↓ (3.59)	2.8 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krumovgrad
40.1%

Draw
27.5%

Dobrudzha Dobrich
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.3%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

23.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krumovgrad's form might have worsened.

Dobrudzha Dobrich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krumovgrad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dobrudzha Dobrich than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dobrudzha Dobrich, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Krumovgrad - Dobrudzha Dobrich Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Krumovgrad will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Dobrudzha Dobrich will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dobrudzha Dobrich: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Krumovgrad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Krumovgrad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.05.23	Ludogorets II - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Krumovgrad - Yantra Gabrovo	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Sozopol - Krumovgrad	1:1 ✺
13.04.23	Krumovgrad - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Dunav Ruse - Krumovgrad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTWL
- PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.05.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:0 ✺
01.05.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Ludogorets II	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Yantra Gabrovo - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
14.04.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Sozopol	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
16.10.22	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Krumovgrad	0:2

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