Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 12

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday


	Maritsa Plovdiv		Dobrudzha Dobrich

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.4	Watch
	2.65	3.27	2.34
	2.62	3.2	2.3
	2.72	3.18	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.4)	3.21 ↑ (3.17)	2.35 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maritsa Plovdiv
33.5%

Draw
28.1%

Dobrudzha Dobrich
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.4%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

28.4%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maritsa Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maritsa Plovdiv's performance.

Dobrudzha Dobrich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dobrudzha Dobrich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maritsa Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maritsa Plovdiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dobrudzha Dobrich than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dobrudzha Dobrich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Maritsa Plovdiv - Dobrudzha Dobrich Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dobrudzha Dobrich will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nachev P. (G) 5. Avramov D. 24. David I. 17. Domovchiyski V. (C) 19. Gaziev M. 23. James S. 21. Malamov S. 10. Marchev V. 77. Popov S. 29. Tasholov A. 9. Trifonov G.	1. Argilashki G. (C) 31. Dimitrov A. 8. Gamakov M. 4. Ivanov B. 12. Manev E. 14. Nikolov S. 3. Pirgov D. 10. Shokolarov S. 7. Statev S. 87. Traykov S. 9. Yordanov P.
Substitutes
11. Aliev O. 15. Dimitrov H. 14. Makaveev E. 86. Nikolov I. (G) 18. Peev A. 4. Pushkarov M. 70. Shehov B. 13. Tanchev M. 22. Yordanov I.	26. Ivanov I. 25. Kovachev H. (G) 6. Mendoza C. 5. Minchev I. 88. Nikolov S. 15. Sharif O. 18. Tsankov P.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 4).

Maritsa Plovdiv is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dobrudzha Dobrich is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dobrudzha Dobrich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Maritsa Plovdiv won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Maritsa Plovdiv won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.09.23	Septemvri Sofia - Maritsa Plovdiv	3:1 ✺
22.09.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse	0:1 ✺
18.09.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Marek Dupnitsa	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
13.09.23	Spartak Plovdiv - Maritsa Plovdiv	0:5 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.09.23	Spartak Varna - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.09.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Spartak Varna	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Belasitsa Petrich - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Bdin Vidin	1:0 ✺
04.09.23	Chernomorets Burgas - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Yantra Gabrovo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
08.04.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1
03.09.22	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:2
02.04.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0
17.09.21	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:3

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