Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Krumovgrad		Ludogorets II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.95	3.3
	1.73	3.4	3.9
	1.77	4.07	2.88
	1.75	3.3	4.45	Watch
	1.67	3.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2)	3.67 ↑ (3.33)	3.79 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krumovgrad
51.9%

Draw
24.4%

Ludogorets II
23.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krumovgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krumovgrad's performance.

Ludogorets II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krumovgrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	5.9%	64.7%

Krumovgrad - Ludogorets II Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Krumovgrad will win (votes: 15 - 29.4%). Ludogorets II will win (votes: 33 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets II: 51.6% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 13).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Krumovgrad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Krumovgrad is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Krumovgrad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Krumovgrad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.09.22	Yantra Gabrovo - Krumovgrad	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Krumovgrad - Sozopol	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Krumovgrad	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Krumovgrad - Dunav Ruse	1:0 ✺
29.08.22	Lovech - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTWT
- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.10.22	Ludogorets II - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Ludogorets II	0:1 ✺
12.09.22	Yantra Gabrovo - Ludogorets II	1:0 ✺
05.09.22	Ludogorets II - Sozopol	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Ludogorets II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.06.22	Krumovgrad - Ludogorets II	2:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.11.26	Sportist Svoge - Ludogorets II	✺

Krumovgrad - Ludogorets II