Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 34

Date: 24 May 2024, Friday


	Maritsa Plovdiv		Ludogorets II

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2
	2.5	3.92	2.1
	2.5	3.92	2.1
	2.26	3.32	2.83	Watch
	2.85	3.55	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (4.08)	3.66 ↓ (3.84)	2.23 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maritsa Plovdiv
34.4%

Draw
24.8%

Ludogorets II
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

23.5%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

23.1%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maritsa Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maritsa Plovdiv's performance.

Ludogorets II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ludogorets II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maritsa Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maritsa Plovdiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludogorets II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Maritsa Plovdiv - Ludogorets II Predictions

Users Predictions: Ludogorets II will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nachev P. (G) 11. Aliev O. 15. Dimitrov H. 17. Domovchiyski V. (C) 19. Gaziev M. 21. Malamov S. 10. Marchev V. 16. Mitsev R. 13. Tanchev M. 4. Tasholov A. 22. Yordanov I.	68. Stoimenov Z. (G) 75. Christian Ivanova 76. Dimitrov K. 15. Gian Niazi 53. Gospodinov D. 45. Iliev D. 62. Ivanov D. 83. Ivanov R. 34. Kostadinov B. (C) 42. Shishkov S. 70. Todorov N.
Substitutes
5. Belomachev D. 30. Hristev N. 70. Ivanov N. 28. Lutov K. 29. Makaveev E. 26. Petkov V. (G) 90. Sirakov S.	92. Alexandr Angelov 43. Denis Hadjiev 69. Pepelyashev P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 0, Marchev V. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Kostadinov B. (Pen),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Maritsa Plovdiv is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maritsa Plovdiv won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Ludogorets II is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Maritsa Plovdiv won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Maritsa Plovdiv won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.05.24	Lovech - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:2 ✺
11.05.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Chernomorets Balchik	0:2 ✺
02.05.24	Montana - Maritsa Plovdiv	5:0 ✺
27.04.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Strumska Slava Radomir	4:1 ✺
20.04.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Maritsa Plovdiv	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLWL
- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.05.24	Ludogorets II - Spartak Varna	1:4 ✺
12.05.24	Belasitsa Petrich - Ludogorets II	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Chernomorets Burgas - Ludogorets II	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Ludogorets II - Yantra Gabrovo	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Sportist Svoge - Ludogorets II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
11.11.23	Ludogorets II - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:0
31.03.23	Ludogorets II - Maritsa Plovdiv	5:0
27.08.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Ludogorets II	2:0
10.04.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Ludogorets II	1:1
02.10.21	Ludogorets II - Maritsa Plovdiv	3:1
19.05.18	Ludogorets II - Maritsa Plovdiv	0:2
19.11.17	Maritsa Plovdiv - Ludogorets II	3:3

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