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Current Win Probability
Krylya Sovetov 64.7%
Draw 22.5%
Chertanovo 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
26.7%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
26.1%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krylya Sovetov's performance.
Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chertanovo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krylya Sovetov that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chertanovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Krylya Sovetov - Chertanovo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
61. Fedorova K. (G) 2. Cavic N. 13. Durnova M. 7. Eremeeva O. 6. Ivanova S. 8. Turieva A. 9. Peshkova A. 10. Matic T. 30. Shishkina S. 99. Morina T. 17. Solodukhina V.
20. Dudorova V. (G) 28. Belyaeva V. 33. Kamorina Y. 88. Tkachenko V. 23. Zakharova D. 9. Sakharova A. 10. Golik E. 69. Kryukova V. 8. Shkalova A. 30. Sokach V. 3. Gruzdeva E.
Substitutes
33. Konovaeva K. 25. Kortunova M. 3. Kovtun A. 18. Medved M. 19. Osipova N. 96. Popkova K. 69. Prokopyeva S. (G) 77. Rudneva A. 11. Shvedova A. 5. Stepasheva M.
17. Berezanskaya O. 15. Clem D. 13. Koptsova M. 7. Novik D. 57. Novikova V. 35. Prokhorova S. (G) 95. Vlasova V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Ivanova S. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Turieva A. ⚽, Ivanova S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Kamorina Y. 🟨,
68', Sakharova A. ↓, Berezanskaya O. ↑,
72', Morina T. ↓, Rudneva A. ↑,
75', Gruzdeva E. ↓, Novikova V. ↑,
76', Kryukova V. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Golik E. ⚽,
86', Shkalova A. ↓, Clem D. ↑,
90', Shishkina S. ↓, Stepasheva M. ↑,
90+5', Fedorova K. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 2.
Recent performances by Krylya Sovetov have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Chertanovo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Chertanovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Krylya Sovetov is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
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Fedorova K. (G) 
Cavic N. 
Kovtun A. 
Clem D. 
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